196 pips, US500 3 points and BTC 95 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in July 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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196 pips, US500 3 points and BTC 95 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in July 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 196 pips, US500 3 points and BTC 95 points profit out of the following 6 events in July 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

July 2025

Cumulative potential, indicative performance July 2025, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 8 minutes! (preparation time not included)

You can click on each release for detailed information.

July 2025 U.S. Macro Recap: Market Reactions & Trading Opportunities from Key Economic Reports

July 2025 brought a series of crucial U.S. macroeconomic data releases that impacted forex, futures, and commodities markets—albeit with varied levels of volatility. While none of the individual reports caused major price shocks, traders using Haawks’ ultra-low latency machine-readable data feeds still had multiple profit opportunities across FX pairs, equity indices, and agricultural futures. Below, we break down the most tradable events of the month and how the markets reacted.

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – July 3, 2025

Potential Market Move: 61 pips in 26 seconds
USDJPY: +40 pips | EURUSD: -21 pips

The June Employment Situation Report released on July 3 delivered largely in-line results. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 147,000—slightly above the 12-month average—while unemployment remained at 4.1%. Wage growth was modest, with average hourly earnings up 0.2%.

Despite the lack of major surprises, forex markets responded with quick but contained moves ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend. USDJPY spiked 40 pips, while EURUSD slipped 21 pips, highlighting dollar strength tied to steady job creation and earnings stability.

Key sectors driving job gains: State Government (+47K) and Health Care (+39K)
Long-term unemployment: Up 190K to 1.6 million

US Jobless Claims – July 10 & July 24, 2025

Potential Market Move: 13 pips (July 10) | 19 pips (July 24)

Initial claims fell in both reports, but insured unemployment climbed, suggesting labor market strain beneath the surface. Notably:

  • July 10: USDJPY moved 10 pips, EURUSD 3 pips

  • July 24: USDJPY moved 14 pips, EURUSD 5 pips

While volatility was limited, traders capitalized on quick directional shifts using Haawks G4A feed. The biggest insured unemployment jumps came from states like New York and New Jersey, while Michigan and Pennsylvania showed improvement.

USDA WASDE Report – July 11, 2025

Potential Market Move: 76 ticks total
Corn: 16 | Wheat: 32 | Soybeans: 28

Agricultural markets offered one of the month’s most robust trading setups. The WASDE report highlighted declining U.S. corn production, increased wheat exports, and rising demand for soybean oil due to biofuel policy changes.

Top Takeaways:

  • U.S. wheat stocks dipped despite higher output

  • Corn production forecast cut by 115 million bushels

  • Soybean crush increased due to biofuel demand

Traders watching grains futures (ZC, WC, ZS) had several opportunities to capture significant price movement within minutes of the release.

US Producer Price Index (PPI) – July 16, 2025

Potential Market Move: 16 pips | US500: 3 points

The June PPI came in flat (0.0%), confirming easing inflation pressures. Goods prices rose slightly, driven by energy, while service prices fell. Core PPI also showed no change, supporting the view that inflation may be under control at the producer level.

Notable price movements:

  • Communication equipment: +0.8%

  • Gasoline: +0.6%

  • Chicken eggs: -21.8%

Though not a high-volatility event, the release still offered tight-window scalping setups in USDJPY, EURUSD, and the S&P 500 (US500).

US GDP Q2 Advance Estimate – July 30, 2025

Potential Market Move: 11 pips | BTC: 95 points

The U.S. economy rebounded sharply in Q2, growing at a 3.0% annualized rate following a Q1 contraction. This surge was fueled by strong consumer spending and reduced imports. Inflation metrics continued to cool, adding to the Fed’s likely data-dependent, wait-and-see stance.

What moved markets most?

  • Core PCE down to 2.5%

  • Private inventory investment fell sharply

Cumulative Market Impact – July 2025

Total Potential Trading Movement Captured: 120 pips (FX) + 76 ticks (Grains) + 95 points (BTC) + 3 points (US500)
YTD : 1,164 pips | 2024 Total: 4,305 pips

Final Thoughts: July Was Quiet—but Profitable

Even with modest reactions, July 2025 provided a dozen tradeable windows. The key was speed and precision. Haawks' machine-readable G4A feed ensured that users received economic releases faster than traditional news sources, enabling scalpers and algo traders to extract value even from low-volatility prints.

Traders, prepare for potentially stronger volatility as Q3 unfolds and rate speculation heats back up.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

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157 pips and BTC 158 points potential profit in 305 seconds on 1 August 2025, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and BTC on US Employment Situation (NFP)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 157 pips and BTC moved 158 points on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 1 August 2025.

USDJPY (76 pips)

EURUSD (81 pips)

BTC (158 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

July 2025 Jobs Report: U.S. Labor Market Shows Minimal Growth Amid Mixed Signals

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its July 2025 Employment Situation report, and the labor market continues to show signs of a cooling trend. With just 73,000 jobs added, the monthly job growth has remained tepid since April. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%, signaling a labor market in a holding pattern as economic uncertainty lingers.

Key Takeaways from July 2025:

Sluggish Job Growth

  • Nonfarm payroll employment rose by only 73,000, well below the average gains seen earlier in the year.

  • Revisions to previous months were significant: May was revised down by 125,000 jobs and June by 133,000, meaning a combined loss of 258,000 jobs from earlier estimates.

Unemployment Rate Holds Steady

  • The unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, largely unchanged since May 2024.

  • The number of unemployed people stood at 7.2 million.

Employment Trends by Sector:

Gains

  • Health care added 55,000 jobs, continuing a strong upward trend. Key contributors were:

    • Ambulatory health care services: +34,000

    • Hospitals: +16,000

  • Social assistance rose by 18,000, mainly driven by:

    • Individual and family services: +21,000

Losses

  • Federal government employment dropped by 12,000 in July and has declined by 84,000 since January.

No Significant Change

  • Industries such as manufacturing, construction, retail, professional services, and leisure and hospitality saw little to no movement.

Worker Demographics and Labor Force Participation:

  • Labor force participation rate: 62.2% (unchanged for the month, down 0.5 percentage points over the year)

  • Employment-population ratio: 59.6% (also little changed)

  • Long-term unemployed (27 weeks or more): Up 179,000 to 1.8 million, making up 24.9% of total unemployed

  • New entrants to the labor force (seeking their first job): Up 275,000 to 985,000

  • Discouraged workers: Decreased by 212,000 to 425,000, following an increase in the prior month

Wages and Work Hours:

  • Average hourly earnings for private nonfarm employees increased by $0.12 (0.3%) to $36.44

  • Over the past 12 months, wages rose by 3.9%

  • Average workweek: Increased slightly by 0.1 hour to 34.3 hours

Looking Ahead

While health care and social services continue to show resilience, the broader employment landscape is stagnating. Job creation has softened significantly, revisions to past reports indicate weaker momentum than previously thought, and long-term unemployment is creeping up.

The next jobs report—covering August—will be released on Friday, September 5, 2025. Additionally, the preliminary 2025 benchmark revision to employment data will be released on September 9, 2025, offering a deeper look into the actual state of the labor market using QCEW data.

Bottom Line: The July 2025 labor market report points to a slow summer for job growth. While wage gains and stable unemployment offer some reassurance, shrinking revisions and rising long-term unemployment suggest that the labor market is cooling more quickly than previously thought.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

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11 pips and BTC 95 points potential profit in 198 seconds on 30 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and BTC on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 11 pips and BTC moved 95 points on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on 30 July 2025.

USDJPY (7 pips)

EURUSD (4 pips)

BTC (95 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

U.S. Economy Rebounds in Q2 2025 with 3.0% GDP Growth

After a modest contraction earlier this year, the U.S. economy bounced back in the second quarter of 2025, with real gross domestic product (GDP) increasing at an annual rate of 3.0%, according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This marks a sharp reversal from the 0.5% decline in GDP seen in the first quarter.

What Drove the Growth?

The rebound in GDP was largely powered by strong consumer spending and a decline in imports, which helped improve the trade balance. Imports are treated as a subtraction in GDP calculations, so a reduction in imported goods provided a statistical boost to the total.

At the same time, investment and exports both declined, partly offsetting the gains from consumer activity. In particular, private inventory investment dropped significantly, especially in the nondurable goods manufacturing sector (notably chemicals) and wholesale trade, reflecting a broad pullback across durable goods industries.

Consumer Spending: A Bright Spot

Consumer activity remained a key engine of growth. Americans spent more on both services and goods:

  • Health care (especially outpatient and hospital services)

  • Food services and accommodations

  • Financial services, including portfolio management and investment advice

  • Motor vehicles, especially new light trucks

  • Pharmaceuticals and other nondurable goods

This increase in spending reflects solid consumer confidence and continued strength in the labor market, as evidenced by employment, earnings, and hours worked data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trade Dynamics

While imports declined, led by a drop in nondurable consumer goods (excluding food and autos, such as pharmaceuticals), exports also fell, primarily due to weaker demand for automotive vehicles and parts.

Price Trends: Inflation Eases

Inflation pressures continued to moderate in Q2:

  • The gross domestic purchases price index rose 1.9%, down from 3.4% in Q1.

  • The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index increased 2.1%, compared to 3.7% previously.

  • Core PCE (excluding food and energy) was up 2.5%, slowing from 3.5% in the first quarter.

These figures suggest inflation is cooling, offering some relief to policymakers and consumers alike.

Final Sales and Domestic Demand

One closely watched measure, real final sales to private domestic purchasers (which combines consumer spending and fixed investment), grew just 1.2% in Q2—slower than the 1.9% growth recorded in Q1. This indicates that while headline GDP growth was strong, the underlying demand from households and businesses grew at a more moderate pace.

Looking Ahead

The BEA will release its second estimate of Q2 GDP, along with preliminary corporate profit data, on August 28, 2025. Additionally, a major annual update of the National Economic Accounts is scheduled for September 25, which will include revisions to GDP, income, and industry accounts.

With solid GDP growth and inflation on a cooler trajectory, the U.S. economy appears to be on firmer footing heading into the second half of 2025. However, challenges remain, including global trade uncertainties and persistent softness in business investment.

Stay tuned for updates as more data become available.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-2nd-quarter-2025-advance-estimate

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feeds for macro-economic and commodity data from the US and Europe.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

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19 pips potential profit in 136 seconds on 24 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 19 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 24 July 2025.

USDJPY (14 pips)

EURUSD (5 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Jobless Claims Dip Slightly Amid Signs of Steady Labor Market

The latest Unemployment Insurance (UI) Weekly Claims Report, released today by the U.S. Department of Labor, shows a modest decline in initial jobless claims, signaling a steady—if slightly cooling—labor market.

Key Numbers: Week Ending July 19, 2025

  • Initial Claims (Seasonally Adjusted):
    217,000 — down 4,000 from the prior week’s 221,000

  • 4-Week Moving Average:
    224,500 — a decrease of 5,000 from 229,500

  • Insured Unemployment Rate (SA):
    1.3% — unchanged from the previous week

  • Insured Unemployment Total (SA):
    1,955,000 — up by 4,000

Despite the small uptick in continued claims, the four-week moving average for insured unemployment also ticked slightly down, suggesting overall labor market resilience.

Unadjusted Data Highlights

  • Initial Claims (NSA):
    215,792 — a 17.4% drop from the prior week, larger than expected

  • Year-over-Year Comparison:
    Down from 225,839 during the same week last year

  • Unadjusted Insured Unemployment:
    2,016,061 — up 4,568 week-over-week

  • Continued Weeks Claimed Across All Programs:
    2,039,425 — an increase of 113,926 from the prior week

These figures include regular state programs, federal employees, veterans, and other claimants such as those under Workshare arrangements.

Where Claims Rose — and Why

States with Largest Increases in Initial Claims (Week Ending July 12):

State Change Layoff Sectors / Comments
New York +10,001 Transportation, warehousing, public administration, construction
Nevada +4,397 No comment
Texas +2,984 Wholesale trade, health care, administrative & waste services
Georgia +2,793 Manufacturing, health care, administrative & waste services, warehousing
Pennsylvania +1,942 Admin & waste services, transportation, food services, professional/technical
Missouri +1,279 Manufacturing, administrative & waste services, health care
California +1,261 No comment
Arizona +1,193 No comment
Florida +1,147 Agriculture, construction, manufacturing, wholesale & retail trade

These gains reflect layoffs across multiple sectors, notably in public-facing and logistics-heavy industries.

Where Claims Fell

Largest Decreases in Initial Claims:

State Change Comment
Michigan -4,867 Fewer layoffs in manufacturing and management sectors
New Jersey -3,206 No comment
Tennessee -2,574 No comment
Kentucky -1,579 No comment
Iowa -1,385 No comment

Several states, particularly those with manufacturing-heavy economies, saw meaningful declines, potentially indicating production rebounds or stabilized operations.

Federal and Veteran Claims

  • Federal Employees (Initial Claims): 789 — up by 193

  • Veterans (Initial Claims): 302 — down by 101

  • Continued Weeks Claimed (Federal Employees): 7,226 — up by 191

  • Veterans: 4,479 — up by 167

While small in scale, these shifts highlight employment volatility in specific federal and military-related workforce segments.

States With Highest Insured Unemployment Rates (NSA)

State Insured Unemployment Rate
New Jersey2.8%
Rhode Island2.7%
Puerto Rico2.6%
Minnesota2.4%
California2.2%
Massachusetts2.1%
Washington2.1%
District of Columbia2.0%
Oregon1.9%
Pennsylvania1.9%

These regions may face more sustained labor market pressure, especially in urban and service-heavy economies.

Takeaway

The labor market remains relatively stable with minor fluctuations. The decrease in initial claims and an unchanged insured unemployment rate suggest there is no immediate cause for concern. However, sector-specific layoffs and regional disparities point to underlying structural shifts worth monitoring.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

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16 pips, US500 3 points potential profit in 19 seconds on 16 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US500 on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 16 pips on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data on 16 July 2025.

USDJPY (11 pips)

EURUSD (5 pips)

US500 (3 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

June 2025 Producer Price Index (PPI) Report: Inflation Cools as Prices Hold Steady

The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reveals a cooling trend in wholesale inflation for June 2025. Headline PPI — which tracks the average changes in prices received by domestic producers — remained flat (0.0%) in June, signaling a pause in upward pricing pressure following a 0.3% increase in May and a 0.3% decrease in April.

Key Highlights:

Final Demand Overview

  • Overall PPI (Final Demand): 0.0% in June (seasonally adjusted)

  • 12-month change (unadjusted): +2.3%

  • Core PPI (excluding food, energy, and trade): 0.0% in June, +2.5% year-over-year

The flat monthly reading reflects a balance between rising goods prices and falling service prices. While final demand goods rose 0.3%, final demand services slipped by 0.1%.

Goods: Energy Lifts Prices

  • Final demand goods posted their largest monthly rise since February, primarily due to a 0.3% increase in goods excluding food and energy.

  • Energy prices rose 0.6%, with gasoline and residential electric power both contributing to the gains.

  • Food prices rose 0.2%, though this was partially offset by a dramatic 21.8% drop in chicken egg prices.

Notable price gains:

  • Communication equipment: +0.8%

  • Gasoline

  • Tree nuts and prepared poultry

Notable price declines:

  • Chicken eggs: -21.8%

  • Thermoplastic resins

  • Natural gas liquids

Services: Softening Demand

  • Final demand services dropped 0.1%, mainly driven by declines in services excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing.

  • Travel-related services showed weakness:

    • Traveler accommodations: -4.1%

    • Airline passenger services: Down

  • Financial services saw mixed trends:

    • Portfolio management: +2.2%

    • Deposit services (partial): Down

Intermediate Demand: Mixed Trends

  • Processed goods: +0.1% (third monthly gain)

  • Unprocessed goods: +0.7% (largest increase since January)

  • Services: -0.1%

Key intermediate commodity trends:

  • Natural gas to utilities: +12.1%

  • Slaughter cattle & poultry: Increased

  • Ungraded chicken eggs: -25.0%

  • Deposit services (partial): -5.4%

Stage-by-Stage Price Flows

  • Stage 4 Intermediate Demand: Unchanged (goods +0.2%, services -0.1%)

  • Stage 3: -0.2% (driven by falling raw material prices)

  • Stage 2: +0.2% (goods +0.6%, services -0.2%)

  • Stage 1: -0.1% (services prices falling more than goods rose)

Looking Ahead: Index Changes

Starting with the July 2025 release (due August 14), BLS will:

  • Discontinue 5 FD-ID indexes

  • Cease publication of ~350 industry and commodity PPIs

  • Update sampling for 11 industries, including:

    • Tobacco manufacturing

    • Railroad rolling stock

    • Nursing care facilities

    • Industrial sand mining

These changes reflect an effort to keep the PPI current with shifts in industry structure, production methods, and product offerings.

Conclusion

The June 2025 PPI report points to stable producer prices, with inflationary pressures easing in the service sector and moderate gains in goods pricing. The flat reading supports the view that upstream inflation is under control, even as certain volatile categories (like energy and food) continue to swing.

As the Federal Reserve monitors these figures closely, this data may reinforce expectations for a pause in rate hikes, keeping the focus on sustaining disinflation while supporting economic stability.

Next PPI Release: August 14, 2025

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feed for US economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

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76 ticks potential profit on 11 July 2025, analysis on trading corn, wheat and soybeans futures on USDA WASDE data

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76 ticks potential profit on 11 July 2025, analysis on trading corn, wheat and soybeans futures on USDA WASDE data

According to our analysis corn (ZC), wheat (WC) and soybeans (ZS) futures prices moved around 76 ticks (16 ticks, 32 ticks, 28 ticks) on USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) data on 11 July 2025.

Soybeans (28 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

WASDE July 2025: Key Takeaways for U.S. and Global Agricultural Markets

The USDA’s World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report for July 2025 presents a nuanced picture across key agricultural markets. From changing weather patterns and shifting trade dynamics to biofuel policy and disease-related disruptions, this month’s data reflect a global sector in flux. Here's what producers, analysts, and stakeholders need to know.

Wheat: U.S. Stocks Dip Despite Higher Output

The U.S. wheat outlook shows increased production (1.929 billion bushels) but lower ending stocks (890 million bushels) due to higher exports. Winter wheat production fell, but higher yields helped offset lower harvested area. Despite the drop, ending stocks are still 5% above last year. Prices remain at $5.40/bu, slightly below last year.

Globally, wheat supplies were trimmed due to reductions in Canada, Ukraine, and Iran, with trade falling by 1.3 million tons. Ending stocks are down 1.2 million tons to 261.5 million.

Corn & Coarse Grains: Supply Shrinks, Prices Hold

U.S. corn production is forecast 115 million bushels lower following reduced acreage. Ending stocks fell 90 million bushels, though prices are steady at $4.20/bu. Exports surged to a projected record of 2.8 billion bushels.

Oats and barley see modest increases, while sorghum production is down 25 million bushels.

Globally, coarse grain production dipped by 3.6 million tons. Notable developments include improved Brazil corn yields and reduced barley outlooks for several key producers. Global corn stocks fell 3.2 million tons to 272.1 million.

Rice: U.S. Impacted by Flooding, Prices Rise

Flooding in the Delta—especially Arkansas—cut U.S. rice production to 205 million cwt. With reduced area and lower use, ending stocks dropped 5% to 44.7 million cwt. Season-average prices rose across all types:

  • All rice: $14.00/cwt

  • Long grain: $13.00

  • Medium/short grain: $13.50

Globally, rice supplies were stable, but ending stocks were reduced for China and Burma. World consumption hit a new record at 541.6 million tons, driven by China's increased feed usage.

Oilseeds: Biofuel Demand Boosts U.S. Crush

U.S. soybean production edged lower, but domestic crush was raised by 50 million bushels to 2.54 billion. This is driven by booming biofuel demand, bolstered by new EPA mandates and the 45Z Clean Fuel Tax Credit. Soybean oil use for biofuel is now projected at 15.5 billion pounds, up 23% from the previous 3-year average.

Soybean exports were cut by 70 million bushels, with ending stocks rising to 310 million. Prices reflect these shifts:

  • Soybeans: $10.10/bu (↓$0.15)

  • Soybean oil: $0.53/lb (↑$0.07)

  • Soybean meal: $290/short ton (↓$20)

Globally, soybean production and stocks rose, while exports declined slightly. Brazil remains a dominant supplier.

Livestock, Poultry & Dairy: Mixed Shifts Across Proteins

2025 Highlights

  • Beef: Production lowered on slower slaughter; imports and exports raised.

  • Pork: Production and exports both increased.

  • Broilers: Higher production on increased weights; exports lowered due to competition.

  • Turkey & Eggs: Lower production and higher prices expected.

  • Milk: Output raised on cow numbers and productivity.

    • All milk price: $22.00/cwt

2026 Outlook

  • Beef: Production rebound expected (feedlot placements up).

  • Hogs: Higher slaughter from late-2025 pig crops; prices remain strong.

  • Eggs & Poultry: Stable production forecasts; egg prices unchanged.

  • Milk: Continues growth.

    • All milk price: $21.65/cwt

Mexico Sugar Trade: Shift in Export Patterns

Mexico’s 2025/26 beginning stocks rose by 27,342 metric tons, driven by lower 2024/25 use and slightly lower production. That same amount is added to 2025/26 exports, but shipments to the U.S. are down by 196,542 MT due to trade constraints. Exports to non-U.S. destinations rose 223,884 MT, indicating a pivot in trade strategy.

Cotton: More Harvested Acres, Bigger U.S. Crop

U.S. cotton production is up 600,000 bales to 14.60 million, with planted and harvested area both increased. However, yield per acre declined slightly. Ending stocks rose to 4.6 million bales, while the upland season-average price holds at 62 cents/lb.

Globally, higher production in China, the U.S., and Mexico drove up ending stocks by 520,000 bales, despite reduced beginning stocks. Consumption is up modestly, while trade expectations declined slightly.

Final Thoughts

The July 2025 WASDE report reveals a global ag sector navigating challenges and opportunities, from climate and disease to energy policy and evolving global trade. For producers and policymakers alike, the shifts in demand for biofuels, protein sources, and staple grains highlight the need for adaptability in a highly dynamic environment.

Stay tuned for future updates as the harvest season unfolds and global markets respond.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/wasde0725.pdf

Haawks G4A is one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for USDA data. We are beating big names in the industry by seconds. Coverage includes monthly USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates), quarterly USDA Grain Stocks and yearly USDA Prospective Plantings and USDA Acreage.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

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13 pips potential profit in 12 seconds on 10 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 13 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 10 July 2025.

USDJPY (10 pips)

EURUSD (3 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

Unemployment Claims Drop Slightly, but Insured Unemployment Hits Highest Level Since 2021

The U.S. labor market saw modest improvement last week, as new unemployment claims dipped slightly. However, underlying data shows signs of increased strain in the system, with insured unemployment rising to levels not seen since late 2021.

Initial Claims Decline, But Remain Elevated

For the week ending July 5, seasonally adjusted initial unemployment claims dropped to 227,000, a decrease of 5,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 232,000. The 4-week moving average—a more stable measure—fell to 235,500, its lowest level in over a month.

However, the unadjusted figures tell a different story. Actual initial claims filed totaled 240,802, up 10,004 from the previous week. This increase was lower than expected, suggesting less seasonal volatility than anticipated.

Insured Unemployment Rises to Highest Since 2021

While fewer people filed for new claims, ongoing unemployment (those continuing to receive benefits) rose to its highest point in nearly four years:

  • 1,965,000 individuals were receiving insured unemployment benefits for the week ending June 28, up 10,000 from the week before.

  • This marks the highest level since November 13, 2021.

  • The 4-week moving average also climbed to 1,955,250, the highest since November 2021.

Despite the rise, the insured unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted) held steady at 1.3%, while the unadjusted rate ticked up from 1.2% to 1.3%.

State-Level Trends: Who’s Up, Who’s Down?

Some states saw notable shifts in unemployment activity:

Largest Increases in Initial Claims:

  • New Jersey: +4,684 (due to layoffs in education and public administration)

  • New York: +3,323 (health care, transportation, hospitality)

  • Illinois: +1,840 (manufacturing, retail, logistics)

Largest Decreases:

  • Pennsylvania: -2,910

  • California: -2,822

  • Connecticut: -2,407
    These decreases were primarily attributed to fewer layoffs in industries like transportation, accommodations, and health care.

Highest Insured Unemployment Rates:

  • Puerto Rico: 2.4%

  • Minnesota & New Jersey: 2.3%

  • California & Rhode Island: 2.2%

Federal Program Activity

While most UI activity is state-based, federal claims also shifted slightly:

  • Federal civilian initial claims: 438 (down 15)

  • Veteran initial claims: 388 (up 37)

  • Continued weeks claimed by federal employees and veterans also changed modestly, but remained below pre-pandemic levels.

What Does This Mean?

The data paints a mixed picture: fewer people are entering unemployment, but more are staying on benefits longer—possibly signaling a slower reabsorption into the workforce.

While no states were triggered onto the Extended Benefits (EB) program this week, the sustained rise in continued claims suggests some softening in the labor market.

Bottom Line:
Initial jobless claims are steady, but the rise in ongoing unemployment benefits is worth watching. As seasonal adjustments settle and summer transitions into fall, the labor market may face new pressures.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

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639 pips, US500 91 points and BTC 719 points potential futures forex fx news trading profit from 24 events in the second quarter of 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable news data feed

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639 pips, US500 91 points and BTC 719 points potential futures forex fx news trading profit from 24 events in the second quarter of 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable news data feed

We are pleased to announce that there was a potential of 639 pips/ticks, US500 91 points and BTC 719 points profit out of the following 24 events in the second quarter of 2025 based on our ex-post analysis. The potential performance for 2024 was 4,305 pips/ticks.

Q2 2025

Cumulative potential, indicative performance Q2 2025 (only pips), please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 31 minutes in 3 months! (preparation time not included)

You can click on each release for detailed information.

Market Movers: Key U.S. Economic Reports and Their Impact (April–June 2025)

From jobs data to energy inventories and agricultural outlooks, Q2 2025 saw a series of high-impact economic reports that rippled across global markets. Traders closely tracked these releases for their potential to move currencies, equities, commodities, and crypto. Here's a rundown of the most market-moving reports between April and June 2025.

April Highlights

  • JOLTS (April 1): The labor market began Q2 on solid footing, with the Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey moving the USD by 21 pips—a notable reaction suggesting continued sensitivity to labor data.

  • Energy Inventories: The DOE Natural Gas Storage Reports on April 3, 17, and 24 moved 27, 24, and 28 ticks respectively. The Petroleum Status Reports on April 9 and 23 posted 29 and 19 ticks, showing volatility as supply levels fluctuated during seasonal demand shifts.

  • GDP Surprise (April 30): One of the month’s biggest events, the US GDP release, jolted the S&P 500 by 21 points and Bitcoin by a whopping 305 points, reflecting strong cross-asset sensitivity to macro growth data.

Early May Surge

  • Jobless Claims (May 1): Initial claims moved the USD by 29 pips and the S&P 500 by 7 points—a sign that labor market tightness was still front and center for traders.

  • Natural Gas (May 1): The same day, gas storage data shocked the market with a 55-tick move, marking the most volatile energy reaction in Q2.

  • Employment Report (May 2): The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) release proved critical again: 19 pips on the USD, 19 S&P points, and 192 points on Bitcoin. Crypto remains highly reactive to macro labor indicators.

Mid-May Momentum

  • WASDE (May 12): Agricultural markets woke up as the USDA’s report drove 56 ticks, signaling shifting expectations in global grain supply and demand.

  • CPI & PPI (May 13, 15): CPI barely moved the needle at 3 pips but still nudged the S&P 500 by 14 points. The combo of PPI, Retail Sales, Jobless Claims, and Philly Fed on May 15 moved the USD by 17 pips and the index by 10 points—a multifaceted data dump that markets clearly priced in.

  • Oil & Gas (May 15 & 21): Natural gas data dipped to 19 ticks, while oil inventories on May 21 jumped to 42 ticks, hinting at growing concerns over crude supply.

June Closes Q2 with a Bang

  • JOLTS (June 3): This report’s impact diminished to just 10 pips, perhaps signaling a market growing numb to repeated labor strength.

  • NFP (June 6): In contrast, the June NFP was a showstopper—37 pips on the dollar, 11 points on the S&P, and major reactions in correlated assets.

  • CPI (June 11): Again modest at 3 pips, but Bitcoin jumped 222 points, underscoring crypto's outsized sensitivity to inflation trends.

  • June 12 PPI & Jobless Claims: Together they created a 41-pip swing in the greenback—signaling that inflation is not yet off the radar.

  • GDP + Jobless + Durable Goods (June 26): A potent trifecta caused a 26-pip move, reinforcing how tightly markets are tethered to macro signals.

  • USDA Acreage/Grain Stocks (June 30): The most volatile ag report of the quarter delivered a hefty 64-tick reaction, capping off a high-stakes Q2 for commodity traders.

Takeaway for Traders

Q2 2025 reinforced a familiar theme: macro matters. While individual reports varied in market impact, clusters of data—especially when combining labor, inflation, or GDP figures—produced outsized reactions.

Crypto traders should continue watching NFP and CPI closely, while energy and ag market participants can't afford to ignore inventory and USDA reports. For equity and FX traders, jobless claims and broader economic indicators remain key swing factors.

Volatility isn't going away anytime soon—stay alert, stay nimble.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Switzerland Turkey and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Chicago, New York and London. Free trials.

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61 pips potential profit in 26 seconds on 3 July 2025, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Employment Situation (NFP)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 61 pips on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 3 July 2025.

USDJPY (40 pips)

EURUSD (21 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

July 2025 U.S. Jobs Report: Modest Gains Fuel Cautious Market Response

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released its June 2025 Employment Situation Report on July 3, revealing moderate but steady growth in the labor market. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 147,000, aligning closely with the 12-month average gain of 146,000. The unemployment rate held steady at 4.1%, showing little change from previous months and continuing the trend of a relatively tight labor market.

Key Highlights from the Report:

  • State Government and Health Care led job creation, adding 47,000 and 39,000 jobs respectively.

  • Federal Government employment declined by 7,000, bringing the total loss since January to 69,000.

  • Average hourly earnings increased by 0.2% to $36.30, while wages for production and nonsupervisory workers climbed 0.3% to $31.24.

  • Long-term unemployment rose by 190,000 to 1.6 million, now accounting for 23.3% of the total unemployed.

  • The labor force participation rate remained unchanged at 62.3%.

Market Reaction: USDJPY and EURUSD Move Modestly

Despite the data being mostly in line with expectations, forex markets saw mild volatility in response to the release:

  • USDJPY rose by 40 pips, signaling modest dollar strength likely tied to steady wage growth and job gains.

  • EURUSD slipped by 21 pips, a subdued reaction reflecting limited surprises in the report.

Overall, the total move across USDJPY and EURUSD was 61 pips, indicating a muted but focused market response, particularly ahead of the long U.S. holiday weekend.

What It Means for Traders

The June report did little to shake market sentiment but reaffirmed the narrative of gradual economic cooling without triggering recession fears. Wage growth remains solid, and job creation—though slower than earlier in the recovery—is still healthy. With the Fed watching inflation and labor market metrics closely, this report may not alter near-term rate expectations significantly but reinforces a “wait-and-see” stance.

Looking ahead, the next Employment Situation Report is scheduled for Friday, August 1, 2025, which could play a more pivotal role in shaping monetary policy expectations as more data accumulate.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

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214 pips, US500 17 points and BTC 222 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 7 events in June 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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214 pips, US500 17 points and BTC 222 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 7 events in June 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 214 pips, US500 17 points and BTC 222 points profit out of the following 7 events in June 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

June 2025

Cumulative potential, indicative performance June 2025, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 10 minutes! (preparation time not included)

You can click on each release for detailed information.

June 2025: U.S. Economic Data Roundup and Market Impact – A Mixed but Actionable Picture for News Traders

As Q2 2025 came to a close, market participants experienced a flurry of high-impact U.S. economic data releases. From labor market indicators to inflation and agricultural reports, the data presented a mixed but actionable landscape for traders using machine-readable news feeds. Below is a comprehensive breakdown of key macroeconomic events in June 2025 and how they moved markets—particularly forex, index futures, and commodities.

June 3 – JOLTS Report (BLS)

Potential Market Movement: 10 pips in 12 seconds
Pairs: EURUSD, USDJPY
The U.S. Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) showed a steady labor market in April with openings unchanged at 7.4 million. The market interpreted the release as neutral, resulting in modest but quick 10-pip moves across EURUSD and USDJPY.

Takeaway: A calm labor market doesn't mean a calm market. Low latency execution captured this brief spike.

June 5 – Initial Jobless Claims

Potential Market Movement: 33 pips + US500 6 points in 24 seconds
Pairs/Assets: USDJPY, EURUSD, US500
Claims ticked up to 247,000—the highest in months—causing swift market reactions. The US500 dropped while forex pairs spiked.

Takeaway: A slight rise in claims continues to signal softening in the labor market, a trend traders should watch.

June 6 – Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)

Potential Market Movement: 37 pips + US500 11 points + BTC 209 points in 18 seconds
Assets: USDJPY, EURUSD, US500, BTC
May added 139,000 jobs with unemployment steady at 4.2%. Markets interpreted this as mildly dovish, triggering movement across forex, equities, and even crypto.

Takeaway: Bitcoin is responding more frequently to macro data, not just tech headlines—machine-readable feeds matter here too.

June 11 – CPI Report

Potential Market Movement: 3 pips + BTC 222 points in 23 seconds
Assets: EURUSD, USDJPY, BTC
May’s inflation came in cooler at +0.1% m/m. BTC surged 222 points, while forex markets remained largely subdued.

Takeaway: Low headline CPI can still cause big swings in alternative assets like crypto.

June 12 – Jobless Claims + PPI

Potential Market Movement: 41 pips in 26 seconds
Pairs: EURUSD, USDJPY
Continued claims hit the highest since Nov 2021. PPI rose just 0.1%. Traders responded swiftly to the twin signals of labor softness and sticky inflation.

Takeaway: A two-release combo amplifies potential—layered datasets demand machine-readable speed.

June 26 – Jobless Claims + GDP + Durable Goods

Potential Market Movement: 26 pips in 48 seconds
Pairs: USDJPY, EURUSD
Claims dropped, durable goods surged (+16.4%), but GDP was revised down to -0.5%. Mixed signals confused human traders—but algorithmic systems capitalized on the quick volatility.

Takeaway: Contradictory data is a recipe for whipsaws—ideal for fast-reacting, low-latency systems.

June 30 – USDA Acreage & Grain Stocks

Potential Market Movement: 64 ticks on Soybeans (ZS)
Asset: Soybeans Futures
Soybean acreage dropped 4%, but stocks rose 4%. The market popped 64 ticks on the data. Corn planting was notably up 5%, while wheat stockpiles surged 22%.

Takeaway: USDA data remains a high-value opportunity, especially for agricultural futures traders with millisecond access.

Year-to-Date (YTD) Performance Snapshot

Haawks Potential Trading Opportunity in 2025 So Far:
968 pips from U.S. macro releases (January–June 2025)
(2024 total: 4,305 pips)

Final Thoughts

June offered a complex but tradable market for those equipped with real-time machine-readable data. From labor metrics to inflation and agriculture, multiple assets responded within seconds. Haawks G4A continues to deliver sub-second latency performance, giving our clients the edge they need in modern macro-driven trading.

Ready to upgrade your news trading strategy?
Contact us at sales@haawks.com for timestamps, demo access, or a performance breakdown tailored to your trading style.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Chicago, New York and London. Free trials.

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