15 pips potential profit in 36 seconds on 28 August 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 15 pips on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on 28 August 2025.

USDJPY (12 pips)

EURUSD (3 pips)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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U.S. Economy Rebounds in Q2 2025: GDP Grows 3.3%

The U.S. economy showed strong momentum in the second quarter of 2025, according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). After contracting slightly in the first quarter, real gross domestic product (GDP) grew at an annual rate of 3.3% from April through June. This second estimate is stronger than the initial reading of 3.0%, reflecting upward revisions in investment and consumer spending.

What’s Driving Growth?

The rebound in GDP was fueled by:

• Fewer imports – A decline in imports, which are subtracted in GDP calculations, gave the headline number a lift.

• Stronger consumer spending – Household demand accelerated, particularly in health care, pharmaceuticals, food services, and accommodations.

• Investment gains – Upward revisions in intellectual property (software and R&D), equipment (led by light trucks), and structures (notably commercial and health care) all contributed.

These positive shifts were partly offset by weaker government spending and higher imports of certain goods, such as industrial supplies and capital goods.

Key Economic Indicators from Q2 2025

• Real GDP: +3.3% (up from -0.5% in Q1)

• Current-dollar GDP: +5.3%

• Real Final Sales to Private Domestic Purchasers: +1.9% (a sharp upward revision from +1.2%)

• Real Gross Domestic Income (GDI): +4.8% (vs. +0.2% in Q1)

• Average of GDP and GDI: +4.0%

• Price Index for Gross Domestic Purchases: +1.8%

• PCE Price Index: +2.0% (2.5% excluding food and energy)

Corporate Profits Bounce Back

After falling $90.6 billion in the first quarter, corporate profits rose by $65.5 billion in Q2. The turnaround signals improving business conditions alongside consumer strength.

Inflation Check

Inflation pressures remained moderate:

• The gross domestic purchases price index rose 1.8%.

• The PCE price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred gauge, climbed 2.0%.

• Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose 2.5%, unchanged from the initial estimate.

Why the Upward Revision?

The BEA revised Q2 growth higher mainly because of:

• Better-than-expected consumer spending on goods and services.

• New data showing stronger business investment in software, R&D, light trucks, and construction.

• Adjustments in trade data, especially petroleum exports and industrial supplies imports.

What’s Next?

The BEA will release its third estimate of Q2 GDP along with updated data on GDP by industry and revised corporate profits on September 25, 2025. This release will also incorporate results from the annual update of the National Economic Accounts, which could shift historical growth patterns.

Bottom Line

After a sluggish start to 2025, the U.S. economy appears to be on a firmer footing. Robust consumer demand, healthier corporate profits, and easing inflation pressures suggest that growth could continue into the second half of the year—though much will depend on investment trends, trade dynamics, and the Federal Reserve’s policy stance.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-2nd-quarter-2025-second-estimate-and-corporate-profits-preliminary

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42 pips, BTC 437 points potential profit in 50 seconds on 14 August 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and BTC on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 42 pips and BTC moved 437 points on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data on 14 August 2025.

USDJPY (28 pips)

EURUSD (14 pips)

BTC (437 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Key Takeaways: July 2025 PPI

1. Overall Movement

• Final demand PPI rose 0.9% in July (seasonally adjusted).

• On a 12-month basis, final demand prices were up 3.3%, the largest increase since February 2025.

2. Goods vs. Services

• Services: Up 1.1%—major driver of the July increase.

  • Trade services (margins for wholesalers/retailers) jumped 2%.

  • Machinery & equipment wholesaling margins alone accounted for 30% of the rise.

  • Some declines: hospital outpatient care (-0.5%), furniture retailing, pipeline energy transport.

• Goods: Up 0.7%.

  • Food: +1.4%, with fresh/dry vegetables +38.9%.

  • Energy: +0.9% (gasoline down 1.8%).

3. Core PPI (less food, energy, and trade services)

• Rose 0.6% in July.

• On a 12-month basis, up 2.8%—largest rise since March 2022.

Intermediate Demand (inputs for other goods/services)

• Processed goods: +0.8%, driven by diesel fuel (+11.8%).

• Unprocessed goods: +1.8%, led by raw milk (+9.1%).

• Services: +0.8%, driven by financial and postal/courier services.

By Production Stage

• Stage 1 (raw materials/services entering production): +1.1%

• Stage 2: +0.5%

• Stage 3: +1.1%

• Stage 4 (finished goods/services before sale to final demand): +0.8%

This shows that price pressures are broad-based, affecting raw inputs and final goods/services, with notable jumps in food, energy, and trade/service margins.

Implications

• Inflation signal: PPI rising at these rates suggests continuing cost pressures that could eventually feed into consumer prices (CPI).

• Sector insights:

  • Food and energy remain volatile.

  • Trade margins are a major contributor, showing higher costs along distribution chains.

  • Financial services costs are climbing (portfolio management, securities).

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

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Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feed for US economic and commodity data.

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96 ticks potential profit on 12 August 2025, analysis on trading corn, wheat and soybeans futures on USDA WASDE data

According to our analysis corn (ZC), wheat (WC) and soybeans (ZS) futures prices moved around 96 ticks (28 ticks, 20 ticks, 48 ticks) on USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) data on 12 August 2025.

Soybeans (48 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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August 2025 WASDE Report: Record Crops, Price Shifts, and Global Supply Changes

The USDA’s latest World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE), released August 12, 2025, paints a complex picture for the coming marketing year. While some U.S. crops are setting production records, others are tightening in supply, with global market ripples reaching nearly every major commodity. Here’s a breakdown of the key takeaways.

Wheat: Slightly Tighter in the U.S., Lower Stocks Worldwide

• U.S. Outlook:

  • Supplies: Down slightly to 1.927 billion bushels due to reduced harvested area, even as yields tick up to 52.7 bu/acre.

  • Use: Domestic use trimmed by 5 million bushels (mainly food), but exports up 25 million thanks to strong sales of Hard Red Winter wheat.

  • Ending Stocks: Cut to 869 million bushels.

  • Price: Lowered 10 cents to $5.30/bu.

• Global Outlook:

  • Supplies: Down 2.5 million tons due to lower production in China, Brazil, and Argentina.

  • Consumption: Down 1.1 million tons, with feed use weaker in several Asian countries.

  • Trade: Slightly higher, led by U.S. exports.

  • Ending Stocks: Dropped to 260.1 million tons, the lowest since 2015/16.

Corn & Coarse Grains: Record U.S. Crop, Prices Under Pressure

• U.S. Corn:

  • Production: A record 16.7 billion bushels, up 1 billion from last month on bigger acreage and a yield forecast of 188.8 bu/acre.

  • Use: Domestic use up 545 million bushels, with feed demand surging.

  • Exports: Projected record 2.9 billion bushels.

  • Ending Stocks: Up to 2.1 billion bushels, highest since 2018/19.

  • Price: Lowered 30 cents to $3.90/bu.

• Global Coarse Grains:

  • Production: Higher overall, but foreign output down in the EU and Serbia from heat/dryness.

  • Stocks: Global corn ending stocks up to 282.6 million tons.

Rice: Bigger U.S. Harvest, Global Stocks Ease

• U.S. Outlook:

  • Production: 208.5 million cwt, higher on acreage despite a yield drop.

  • Exports: Up to 97 million cwt, with strong medium/short-grain sales to Japan.

  • Ending Stocks: 44.6 million cwt, down 12% year-over-year.

  • Price: Higher for California medium/short-grain, overall $14.20/cwt.

• Global Outlook:

  • Supplies: Slight dip to 728.7 million tons.

  • Consumption: Record 542 million tons.

  • Ending Stocks: Down to 186.7 million tons.

Oilseeds: U.S. Soybeans Tighter on Lower Area

• U.S. Soybeans:

  • Production: 4.3 billion bushels, down 43 million on smaller acreage despite higher yields (53.6 bu/acre).

  • Exports: Cut 40 million bushels on slow early sales.

  • Ending Stocks: Down to 290 million bushels.

  • Price: Unchanged at $10.10/bu.

• Global Soybeans:

  • Production: Lower in the U.S. and Serbia.

  • Stocks: Down 1.2 million tons to 124.9 million.

Sugar: More U.S. Supply, Higher Stocks

• 2025/26 U.S. Sugar:

  • Production: Higher for both beet and cane sugar, especially in Louisiana.

  • Ending Stocks: Up to 2.16 million STRV, boosting the stocks-to-use ratio to 17.75%.

Livestock, Poultry & Dairy: Shifts in Meat Mix, Firm Milk Output

• Meat Production:

  • Beef & Pork: Lower on reduced slaughter and lighter weights.

  • Poultry: Broilers up; turkey down. Eggs slightly lower.

• Prices:

  • Cattle & Hogs: Higher into 2026.

  • Broilers: Lower in the second half of 2025.

  • Turkey: Higher on tight red meat supplies.

  • Milk: Output forecasts raised; 2025 all-milk price steady at $22.00/cwt.

Cotton: Smaller U.S. Crop Tightens Supplies

• Production: Cut to 13.2 million bales, down 1.4 million from July on higher abandonment in the Southwest.

• Exports: Down 500,000 bales.

• Ending Stocks: Down to 3.6 million bales.

• Price: Up to 64¢/lb.

• Global: Production, consumption, and trade all down; ending stocks reduced over 3.4 million bales.

The Big Picture

August’s WASDE tells two main stories: record corn production pushing prices down and tightness in wheat, soybeans, cotton, and some livestock products supporting prices. Global weather, shifting trade patterns, and domestic supply surges are setting up a marketing year of both opportunity and volatility.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/wasde0825.pdf

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Haawks G4A is one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for USDA data. We are beating big names in the industry by seconds. Coverage includes monthly USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates), quarterly USDA Grain Stocks and yearly USDA Prospective Plantings and USDA Acreage.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

59 pips, US500 17 points, BTC 461 points potential profit in 72 seconds on 12 August 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading EURUSD, USDJPY, US500, BTC on US CPI

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 59 pips, US500 moved 17 points and BTC moved 461 points on US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on 12 August 2025.

USDJPY (35 pip)

EURUSD (24 pips)

US500 (17 points)

BTC (461 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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July 2025 Consumer Price Index (CPI) Update: What You Need to Know

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July 2025, offering important insights into inflation and price changes affecting everyday Americans. Here’s a breakdown of the key takeaways from the latest report:

Modest Monthly Increase in Overall Prices

The CPI for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) rose by 0.2% in July on a seasonally adjusted basis, a slight slowdown from June’s 0.3% increase. Over the past year, prices have increased by 2.7%, showing steady but moderate inflation.

What’s Driving the July Increase?

• Shelter Costs: The main contributor to the monthly rise was shelter, which increased by 0.2%. Rent and owners' equivalent rent both edged up, indicating that housing costs continue to be a significant factor in inflation.

• Food Prices: The overall food index remained flat in July. However, food away from home (restaurants, takeout) saw a small 0.3% rise, while food at home (groceries) actually decreased slightly by 0.1%. Within groceries, dairy products and meats experienced price gains, but other categories like cereals and bakery products fell.

• Energy Prices: Energy costs declined by 1.1%, largely due to a 2.2% drop in gasoline prices. Electricity and natural gas prices also edged lower, easing some pressure on household energy bills.

Core Inflation (Excluding Food and Energy)

Prices for all items excluding food and energy rose 0.3% in July, following a 0.2% increase in June. This category includes:

• Medical Care: Increased notably, with dental services up 2.6% and hospital services also rising.

• Transportation Services: Airline fares jumped 4.0%, reversing a previous decline.

• Recreation, Household Furnishings, and Used Vehicles: All saw moderate price increases.

Conversely, lodging away from home and communication services saw price declines.

Year-Over-Year Inflation Trends

• The all items index rose 2.7% over the past 12 months.

• Core inflation (less food and energy) increased by 3.1%, reflecting ongoing upward pressure on many services and goods.

• Energy prices dropped 1.6% year-over-year, driven largely by lower gasoline costs.

• Food prices climbed 2.9%, with food away from home rising faster (3.9%) than food at home (2.2%).

Noteworthy Changes and Methodology Updates

• The BLS has updated how it measures wireless telephone services prices by using alternative data sources and methods, aiming for more accurate inflation tracking in this sector.

• Starting with October 2025 data, long-term care insurance will be removed from the health insurance index due to changes in that market.

What Does This Mean for You?

The July CPI data suggests that while inflation remains moderate, housing and medical care costs continue to be significant contributors to rising prices. Consumers may see some relief from falling energy prices, but dining out and healthcare expenses are becoming more costly.

Looking Ahead

The next CPI report is scheduled for release on September 11, 2025.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.nr0.htm

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Start futures forex fx news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest machine-readable news trading feed for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

19 ticks potential profit in 35 seconds on 7 August 2025, analysis on futures news trading natural gas on DOE Natural Gas Storage Report data

According to our analysis natural gas moved 19 ticks on DOE Natural Gas Storage Report data on 7 August 2025.

Natural gas (19 ticks)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Weekly Natural Gas Storage Update – August 7, 2025

Slight Build in Storage as Total Remains Above Five-Year Average

The U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) released its Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report today, covering storage levels as of August 1, 2025. The data reveals a modest net increase of 7 billion cubic feet (Bcf) in working natural gas storage across the Lower 48 states, bringing the total to 3,130 Bcf.

While this weekly increase is relatively small, the total stock remains 173 Bcf above the five-year average and 137 Bcf below the level at the same time last year.

Regional Highlights

• East Region: Added 5 Bcf, now at 656 Bcf

• Midwest Region: Increased by 10 Bcf to 775 Bcf

• Mountain Region: Rose 6 Bcf to 249 Bcf

• Pacific Region: Added 3 Bcf, reaching 305 Bcf

• South Central Region: Notably drew down 17 Bcf, dropping to 1,145 Bcf

  • Salt facilities led this decrease with a 20 Bcf draw

  • Nonsalt facilities added 3 Bcf

Despite the overall increase, the South Central region’s withdrawal stands out, likely influenced by elevated cooling demand or shifting regional market dynamics.

Year-Over-Year and Historical Comparisons

• Total working gas is 4.2% below the level from this time last year (3,267 Bcf in 2024)

• However, storage remains 5.9% above the five-year average of 2,957 Bcf (2020–2024)

• All regional storage levels remain within historical five-year ranges

What This Means

Natural gas storage is a critical indicator for energy markets, especially heading into the fall shoulder season. While we're seeing slight weekly builds, the below-average year-over-year total suggests tighter supply compared to 2024, possibly impacting prices if demand spikes due to weather or market shifts.

However, the continued surplus over the five-year average provides a buffer against potential volatility.

Looking Ahead

The next Weekly Natural Gas Storage Report will be released on August 14, 2025, and will cover storage data through August 8, 2025. Traders, utilities, and analysts will be closely monitoring updates to assess storage sufficiency ahead of the upcoming winter season.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://ir.eia.gov/ngs/ngs.html

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Start futures forex fx commodity news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data, one of the fastest data feeds for DOE data.

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196 pips, US500 3 points and BTC 95 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in July 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 196 pips, US500 3 points and BTC 95 points profit out of the following 6 events in July 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

July 2025

Cumulative potential, indicative performance July 2025, please see all releases below.

• US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) (61 pips / 3 July 2025)

• US Jobless Claims (13 pips / 10 July 2025)

• USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) (76 ticks / 11 July 2025)

• US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) (16 pips, US500 3 points / 16 July 2025)

• US Jobless Claims (19 pips / 24 July 2025)

• US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) (11 pips, BTC 95 points / 30 July 2025)

Total trading time would have been around 8 minutes! (preparation time not included)

You can click on each release for detailed information.

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July 2025 U.S. Macro Recap: Market Reactions & Trading Opportunities from Key Economic Reports

July 2025 brought a series of crucial U.S. macroeconomic data releases that impacted forex, futures, and commodities markets—albeit with varied levels of volatility. While none of the individual reports caused major price shocks, traders using Haawks’ ultra-low latency machine-readable data feeds still had multiple profit opportunities across FX pairs, equity indices, and agricultural futures. Below, we break down the most tradable events of the month and how the markets reacted.

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – July 3, 2025

Potential Market Move: 61 pips in 26 seconds
USDJPY: +40 pips | EURUSD: -21 pips

The June Employment Situation Report released on July 3 delivered largely in-line results. Nonfarm payrolls rose by 147,000—slightly above the 12-month average—while unemployment remained at 4.1%. Wage growth was modest, with average hourly earnings up 0.2%.

Despite the lack of major surprises, forex markets responded with quick but contained moves ahead of the U.S. holiday weekend. USDJPY spiked 40 pips, while EURUSD slipped 21 pips, highlighting dollar strength tied to steady job creation and earnings stability.

Key sectors driving job gains: State Government (+47K) and Health Care (+39K)
Long-term unemployment: Up 190K to 1.6 million

US Jobless Claims – July 10 & July 24, 2025

Potential Market Move: 13 pips (July 10) | 19 pips (July 24)

Initial claims fell in both reports, but insured unemployment climbed, suggesting labor market strain beneath the surface. Notably:

• July 10: USDJPY moved 10 pips, EURUSD 3 pips

• July 24: USDJPY moved 14 pips, EURUSD 5 pips

While volatility was limited, traders capitalized on quick directional shifts using Haawks G4A feed. The biggest insured unemployment jumps came from states like New York and New Jersey, while Michigan and Pennsylvania showed improvement.

USDA WASDE Report – July 11, 2025

Potential Market Move: 76 ticks total
Corn: 16 | Wheat: 32 | Soybeans: 28

Agricultural markets offered one of the month’s most robust trading setups. The WASDE report highlighted declining U.S. corn production, increased wheat exports, and rising demand for soybean oil due to biofuel policy changes.

Top Takeaways:

• U.S. wheat stocks dipped despite higher output

• Corn production forecast cut by 115 million bushels

• Soybean crush increased due to biofuel demand

Traders watching grains futures (ZC, WC, ZS) had several opportunities to capture significant price movement within minutes of the release.

US Producer Price Index (PPI) – July 16, 2025

Potential Market Move: 16 pips | US500: 3 points

The June PPI came in flat (0.0%), confirming easing inflation pressures. Goods prices rose slightly, driven by energy, while service prices fell. Core PPI also showed no change, supporting the view that inflation may be under control at the producer level.

Notable price movements:

• Communication equipment: +0.8%

• Gasoline: +0.6%

• Chicken eggs: -21.8%

Though not a high-volatility event, the release still offered tight-window scalping setups in USDJPY, EURUSD, and the S&P 500 (US500).

US GDP Q2 Advance Estimate – July 30, 2025

Potential Market Move: 11 pips | BTC: 95 points

The U.S. economy rebounded sharply in Q2, growing at a 3.0% annualized rate following a Q1 contraction. This surge was fueled by strong consumer spending and reduced imports. Inflation metrics continued to cool, adding to the Fed’s likely data-dependent, wait-and-see stance.

What moved markets most?

• Core PCE down to 2.5%

• Private inventory investment fell sharply

Cumulative Market Impact – July 2025

Total Potential Trading Movement Captured: 120 pips (FX) + 76 ticks (Grains) + 95 points (BTC) + 3 points (US500)
YTD : 1,164 pips | 2024 Total: 4,305 pips

Final Thoughts: July Was Quiet—but Profitable

Even with modest reactions, July 2025 provided a dozen tradeable windows. The key was speed and precision. Haawks' machine-readable G4A feed ensured that users received economic releases faster than traditional news sources, enabling scalpers and algo traders to extract value even from low-volatility prints.

Traders, prepare for potentially stronger volatility as Q3 unfolds and rate speculation heats back up.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

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Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

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Low latency machine-readable macro-economic and commodity data for professionals

157 pips and BTC 158 points potential profit in 305 seconds on 1 August 2025, analysis on forex fx futures news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and BTC on US Employment Situation (NFP)

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 157 pips and BTC moved 158 points on US Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls / NFP) data on 1 August 2025.

USDJPY (76 pips)

EURUSD (81 pips)

BTC (158 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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July 2025 Jobs Report: U.S. Labor Market Shows Minimal Growth Amid Mixed Signals

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released its July 2025 Employment Situation report, and the labor market continues to show signs of a cooling trend. With just 73,000 jobs added, the monthly job growth has remained tepid since April. The unemployment rate was unchanged at 4.2%, signaling a labor market in a holding pattern as economic uncertainty lingers.

Key Takeaways from July 2025:

Sluggish Job Growth

• Nonfarm payroll employment rose by only 73,000, well below the average gains seen earlier in the year.

• Revisions to previous months were significant: May was revised down by 125,000 jobs and June by 133,000, meaning a combined loss of 258,000 jobs from earlier estimates.

Unemployment Rate Holds Steady

• The unemployment rate remained at 4.2%, largely unchanged since May 2024.

• The number of unemployed people stood at 7.2 million.

Employment Trends by Sector:

Gains

• Health care added 55,000 jobs, continuing a strong upward trend. Key contributors were:

  • Ambulatory health care services: +34,000

  • Hospitals: +16,000

• Social assistance rose by 18,000, mainly driven by:

  • Individual and family services: +21,000

Losses

• Federal government employment dropped by 12,000 in July and has declined by 84,000 since January.

No Significant Change

• Industries such as manufacturing, construction, retail, professional services, and leisure and hospitality saw little to no movement.

Worker Demographics and Labor Force Participation:

• Labor force participation rate: 62.2% (unchanged for the month, down 0.5 percentage points over the year)

• Employment-population ratio: 59.6% (also little changed)

• Long-term unemployed (27 weeks or more): Up 179,000 to 1.8 million, making up 24.9% of total unemployed

• New entrants to the labor force (seeking their first job): Up 275,000 to 985,000

• Discouraged workers: Decreased by 212,000 to 425,000, following an increase in the prior month

Wages and Work Hours:

• Average hourly earnings for private nonfarm employees increased by $0.12 (0.3%) to $36.44

• Over the past 12 months, wages rose by 3.9%

• Average workweek: Increased slightly by 0.1 hour to 34.3 hours

Looking Ahead

While health care and social services continue to show resilience, the broader employment landscape is stagnating. Job creation has softened significantly, revisions to past reports indicate weaker momentum than previously thought, and long-term unemployment is creeping up.

The next jobs report—covering August—will be released on Friday, September 5, 2025. Additionally, the preliminary 2025 benchmark revision to employment data will be released on September 9, 2025, offering a deeper look into the actual state of the labor market using QCEW data.

Bottom Line: The July 2025 labor market report points to a slow summer for job growth. While wage gains and stable unemployment offer some reassurance, shrinking revisions and rising long-term unemployment suggest that the labor market is cooling more quickly than previously thought.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm

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Start forex fx futures news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, one of the fastest news data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data.

Please let us know your feedback. If you are interested in timestamps, please send us an email to sales@haawks.com.

11 pips and BTC 95 points potential profit in 198 seconds on 30 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and BTC on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 11 pips and BTC moved 95 points on US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data on 30 July 2025.

USDJPY (7 pips)

EURUSD (4 pips)

BTC (95 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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U.S. Economy Rebounds in Q2 2025 with 3.0% GDP Growth

After a modest contraction earlier this year, the U.S. economy bounced back in the second quarter of 2025, with real gross domestic product (GDP) increasing at an annual rate of 3.0%, according to the advance estimate released today by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA). This marks a sharp reversal from the 0.5% decline in GDP seen in the first quarter.

What Drove the Growth?

The rebound in GDP was largely powered by strong consumer spending and a decline in imports, which helped improve the trade balance. Imports are treated as a subtraction in GDP calculations, so a reduction in imported goods provided a statistical boost to the total.

At the same time, investment and exports both declined, partly offsetting the gains from consumer activity. In particular, private inventory investment dropped significantly, especially in the nondurable goods manufacturing sector (notably chemicals) and wholesale trade, reflecting a broad pullback across durable goods industries.

Consumer Spending: A Bright Spot

Consumer activity remained a key engine of growth. Americans spent more on both services and goods:

• Health care (especially outpatient and hospital services)

• Food services and accommodations

• Financial services, including portfolio management and investment advice

• Motor vehicles, especially new light trucks

• Pharmaceuticals and other nondurable goods

This increase in spending reflects solid consumer confidence and continued strength in the labor market, as evidenced by employment, earnings, and hours worked data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics.

Trade Dynamics

While imports declined, led by a drop in nondurable consumer goods (excluding food and autos, such as pharmaceuticals), exports also fell, primarily due to weaker demand for automotive vehicles and parts.

Price Trends: Inflation Eases

Inflation pressures continued to moderate in Q2:

• The gross domestic purchases price index rose 1.9%, down from 3.4% in Q1.

• The PCE (Personal Consumption Expenditures) price index increased 2.1%, compared to 3.7% previously.

• Core PCE (excluding food and energy) was up 2.5%, slowing from 3.5% in the first quarter.

These figures suggest inflation is cooling, offering some relief to policymakers and consumers alike.

Final Sales and Domestic Demand

One closely watched measure, real final sales to private domestic purchasers (which combines consumer spending and fixed investment), grew just 1.2% in Q2—slower than the 1.9% growth recorded in Q1. This indicates that while headline GDP growth was strong, the underlying demand from households and businesses grew at a more moderate pace.

Looking Ahead

The BEA will release its second estimate of Q2 GDP, along with preliminary corporate profit data, on August 28, 2025. Additionally, a major annual update of the National Economic Accounts is scheduled for September 25, which will include revisions to GDP, income, and industry accounts.

With solid GDP growth and inflation on a cooler trajectory, the U.S. economy appears to be on firmer footing heading into the second half of 2025. However, challenges remain, including global trade uncertainties and persistent softness in business investment.

Stay tuned for updates as more data become available.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/gross-domestic-product-2nd-quarter-2025-advance-estimate

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19 pips potential profit in 136 seconds on 24 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx news trading USDJPY and EURUSD on US Jobless Claims data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 19 pips on US Jobless Claims data on 24 July 2025.

USDJPY (14 pips)

EURUSD (5 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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Jobless Claims Dip Slightly Amid Signs of Steady Labor Market

The latest Unemployment Insurance (UI) Weekly Claims Report, released today by the U.S. Department of Labor, shows a modest decline in initial jobless claims, signaling a steady—if slightly cooling—labor market.

Key Numbers: Week Ending July 19, 2025

• Initial Claims (Seasonally Adjusted):
  217,000 — down 4,000 from the prior week’s 221,000

• 4-Week Moving Average:
  224,500 — a decrease of 5,000 from 229,500

• Insured Unemployment Rate (SA):
  1.3% — unchanged from the previous week

• Insured Unemployment Total (SA):
  1,955,000 — up by 4,000

Despite the small uptick in continued claims, the four-week moving average for insured unemployment also ticked slightly down, suggesting overall labor market resilience.

Unadjusted Data Highlights

• Initial Claims (NSA):
  215,792 — a 17.4% drop from the prior week, larger than expected

• Year-over-Year Comparison:
  Down from 225,839 during the same week last year

• Unadjusted Insured Unemployment:
  2,016,061 — up 4,568 week-over-week

• Continued Weeks Claimed Across All Programs:
  2,039,425 — an increase of 113,926 from the prior week

These figures include regular state programs, federal employees, veterans, and other claimants such as those under Workshare arrangements.

Where Claims Rose — and Why

States with Largest Increases in Initial Claims (Week Ending July 12):

State	Change	Layoff Sectors / Comments
New York	+10,001	Transportation, warehousing, public administration, construction
Nevada	+4,397	No comment
Texas	+2,984	Wholesale trade, health care, administrative & waste services
Georgia	+2,793	Manufacturing, health care, administrative & waste services, warehousing
Pennsylvania	+1,942	Admin & waste services, transportation, food services, professional/technical
Missouri	+1,279	Manufacturing, administrative & waste services, health care
California	+1,261	No comment
Arizona	+1,193	No comment
Florida	+1,147	Agriculture, construction, manufacturing, wholesale & retail trade

These gains reflect layoffs across multiple sectors, notably in public-facing and logistics-heavy industries.

Where Claims Fell

Largest Decreases in Initial Claims:

State	Change	Comment
Michigan	-4,867	Fewer layoffs in manufacturing and management sectors
New Jersey	-3,206	No comment
Tennessee	-2,574	No comment
Kentucky	-1,579	No comment
Iowa	-1,385	No comment

Several states, particularly those with manufacturing-heavy economies, saw meaningful declines, potentially indicating production rebounds or stabilized operations.

Federal and Veteran Claims

• Federal Employees (Initial Claims): 789 — up by 193

• Veterans (Initial Claims): 302 — down by 101

• Continued Weeks Claimed (Federal Employees): 7,226 — up by 191

• Veterans: 4,479 — up by 167

While small in scale, these shifts highlight employment volatility in specific federal and military-related workforce segments.

States With Highest Insured Unemployment Rates (NSA)

State	Insured Unemployment Rate
New Jersey	2.8%
Rhode Island	2.7%
Puerto Rico	2.6%
Minnesota	2.4%
California	2.2%
Massachusetts	2.1%
Washington	2.1%
District of Columbia	2.0%
Oregon	1.9%
Pennsylvania	1.9%

These regions may face more sustained labor market pressure, especially in urban and service-heavy economies.

Takeaway

The labor market remains relatively stable with minor fluctuations. The decrease in initial claims and an unchanged insured unemployment rate suggest there is no immediate cause for concern. However, sector-specific layoffs and regional disparities point to underlying structural shifts worth monitoring.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf

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16 pips, US500 3 points potential profit in 19 seconds on 16 July 2025, analysis on futures forex fx low latency news trading USDJPY, EURUSD and US500 on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data

According to our analysis USDJPY and EURUSD moved 16 pips on US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) data on 16 July 2025.

USDJPY (11 pips)

EURUSD (5 pips)

US500 (3 points)

Charts are exported from JForex (Dukascopy).

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June 2025 Producer Price Index (PPI) Report: Inflation Cools as Prices Hold Steady

The latest Producer Price Index (PPI) report from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reveals a cooling trend in wholesale inflation for June 2025. Headline PPI — which tracks the average changes in prices received by domestic producers — remained flat (0.0%) in June, signaling a pause in upward pricing pressure following a 0.3% increase in May and a 0.3% decrease in April.

Key Highlights:

Final Demand Overview

• Overall PPI (Final Demand): 0.0% in June (seasonally adjusted)

• 12-month change (unadjusted): +2.3%

• Core PPI (excluding food, energy, and trade): 0.0% in June, +2.5% year-over-year

The flat monthly reading reflects a balance between rising goods prices and falling service prices. While final demand goods rose 0.3%, final demand services slipped by 0.1%.

Goods: Energy Lifts Prices

• Final demand goods posted their largest monthly rise since February, primarily due to a 0.3% increase in goods excluding food and energy.

• Energy prices rose 0.6%, with gasoline and residential electric power both contributing to the gains.

• Food prices rose 0.2%, though this was partially offset by a dramatic 21.8% drop in chicken egg prices.

Notable price gains:

• Communication equipment: +0.8%

• Gasoline

• Tree nuts and prepared poultry

Notable price declines:

• Chicken eggs: -21.8%

• Thermoplastic resins

• Natural gas liquids

Services: Softening Demand

• Final demand services dropped 0.1%, mainly driven by declines in services excluding trade, transportation, and warehousing.

• Travel-related services showed weakness:

  • Traveler accommodations: -4.1%

  • Airline passenger services: Down

• Financial services saw mixed trends:

  • Portfolio management: +2.2%

  • Deposit services (partial): Down

Intermediate Demand: Mixed Trends

• Processed goods: +0.1% (third monthly gain)

• Unprocessed goods: +0.7% (largest increase since January)

• Services: -0.1%

Key intermediate commodity trends:

• Natural gas to utilities: +12.1%

• Slaughter cattle & poultry: Increased

• Ungraded chicken eggs: -25.0%

• Deposit services (partial): -5.4%

Stage-by-Stage Price Flows

• Stage 4 Intermediate Demand: Unchanged (goods +0.2%, services -0.1%)

• Stage 3: -0.2% (driven by falling raw material prices)

• Stage 2: +0.2% (goods +0.6%, services -0.2%)

• Stage 1: -0.1% (services prices falling more than goods rose)

Looking Ahead: Index Changes

Starting with the July 2025 release (due August 14), BLS will:

• Discontinue 5 FD-ID indexes

• Cease publication of ~350 industry and commodity PPIs

• Update sampling for 11 industries, including:

  • Tobacco manufacturing

  • Railroad rolling stock

  • Nursing care facilities

  • Industrial sand mining

These changes reflect an effort to keep the PPI current with shifts in industry structure, production methods, and product offerings.

Conclusion

The June 2025 PPI report points to stable producer prices, with inflationary pressures easing in the service sector and moderate gains in goods pricing. The flat reading supports the view that upstream inflation is under control, even as certain volatile categories (like energy and food) continue to swing.

As the Federal Reserve monitors these figures closely, this data may reinforce expectations for a pause in rate hikes, keeping the focus on sustaining disinflation while supporting economic stability.

Next PPI Release: August 14, 2025

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Source: https://www.bls.gov/news.release/ppi.nr0.htm

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