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112 pips, US30 317 points and BTC 2298 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in February 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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112 pips, US30 317 points and BTC 2298 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in February 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 112 pips/ticks, US30 317 points and BTC 2298 points profit out of the following 5 events in February 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

February 2025

  • US Macro: 64%
  • USDA: 36%
  • US Macro: 64%
  • USDA: 36%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance February 2025, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 8 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Key Market Events for February 2025: Impact on Major Assets

Traders are keeping a close eye on key economic events in February 2025, as recent data releases have moved major financial markets, including forex, equities, and cryptocurrencies. Below is a breakdown of significant reports and their impact on various assets.

US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) – 4 February 2025

  • Market Impact:

    • Forex: 15 pips movement recorded.

    • US30: 26-point fluctuation.

  • The JOLTS report provides insight into the US labor market’s health, influencing Federal Reserve policy expectations and overall economic sentiment.

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment & Inflation Expectations – 7 February 2025

  • Market Impact:

    • Forex: 14 pips.

    • US30: 144 points.

    • Bitcoin (BTC): 739 points.

  • Consumer sentiment reflects consumer confidence in the economy, while inflation expectations influence market positioning ahead of Federal Reserve decisions. This release significantly impacted risk-sensitive assets, especially BTC and US indices.

USDA WASDE (World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates) – 11 February 2025

  • Market Impact:

    • Agricultural Futures: 40 ticks of movement recorded.

  • WASDE plays a critical role in commodity markets, impacting grain and livestock prices. Traders dealing in agricultural futures actively respond to supply and demand shifts indicated in this report.

US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) – 12 February 2025

  • Market Impact:

    • Forex: 23 pips.

    • US30: 147 points.

    • Bitcoin (BTC): 1279 points.

  • CPI is one of the most anticipated economic indicators, providing insights into inflation trends. Higher inflation data typically fuels expectations of tighter monetary policy, affecting forex, equities, and crypto markets significantly.

US Retail Sales – 14 February 2025

  • Market Impact:

    • Forex: 20 pips.

    • Bitcoin (BTC): 280 points.

  • Retail sales data reflects consumer spending strength, a crucial driver of GDP growth. The market’s reaction underscores its importance in shaping risk appetite across asset classes.

Final Thoughts

Traders should continue monitoring these economic indicators, as they provide valuable insights into market trends and help shape informed trading decisions. Understanding the historical impact of these reports aids in strategy development and risk management.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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217 pips, US30 300 points and BTC 1018 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in January 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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217 pips, US30 300 points and BTC 1018 points potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in January 2025 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 217 pips/ticks, US30 300 points and BTC 1018 points profit out of the following 5 events in January 2025. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

January 2025

  • US Macro: 52%
  • USDA: 48%
  • US Macro: 52%
  • USDA: 48%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance January 2025, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 10 minutes! (preparation time not included)

January 2025: Key Market Events Recap and Trading Insights

January 2025 saw several critical economic releases that influenced financial markets. Below is a recap of key events and their implications for traders.

1. US Jobless Claims (2 January 2025)

Impact: 28 pips

The jobless claims report indicated labor market resilience with a modest decline in initial claims. This reinforced confidence in the job market and set the tone for early trading trends in the year.

2. US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) (7 January 2025)

Impact: 25 pips

The JOLTS report showed steady job openings but a decline in voluntary quits, suggesting cautious worker sentiment. This data played a role in shaping market expectations about economic stability and potential shifts in hiring trends.

3. US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls / NFP) (10 January 2025)

Impact: 35 pips, US30: 210 points

The NFP report exceeded expectations, driving volatility in forex and equity markets. Strong job growth supported risk assets initially, but concerns over inflationary wage pressures created mixed reactions.

4. USDA WASDE / USDA Grain Stocks (10 January 2025)

Impact: 104 ticks

The WASDE and Grain Stocks report revealed shifts in supply-demand dynamics. Lower corn and soybean supplies provided bullish support to agricultural commodities, while rising wheat stocks capped price gains in that sector.

5. US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) (15 January 2025)

Impact: 25 pips, US30: 90 points, BTC: 1018 points

The CPI report showed core inflation cooling slightly, prompting traders to reassess Federal Reserve policy expectations. This led to a decline in Treasury yields, a short-lived rally in equities, and increased volatility in BTC.

Market Reactions and Takeaways:

  • Forex: USD pairs experienced significant swings, with CPI and NFP driving directional moves.

  • Indices: US30 faced volatility but rebounded as markets reassessed Fed policy expectations.

  • Commodities: Corn and soybeans gained on tighter supplies, while wheat remained range-bound due to higher stock levels.

  • Crypto: BTC saw sharp price movements, influenced by shifting inflation expectations and macroeconomic sentiment.

Looking Ahead:

As traders navigate 2025, key areas to watch include ongoing labor market trends, Fed policy decisions, and commodity supply shifts. Staying informed and agile will be crucial in capitalizing on market movements and managing risk effectively.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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126 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 4 events in December 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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126 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 4 events in December 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 126 pips / ticks profit out of the following 4 events in December 2024. The potential performance in 2024 was 4,305 pips / ticks.

December 2024

  • US Macro: 72%
  • US DOE: 28%
  • US Macro: 72%
  • US DOE: 28%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance December 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 3 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Navigating Key Economic Releases: December 2024 Insights

December 2024 presents a series of pivotal economic releases that promise to shape the financial markets’ trajectory as we close the year. With markets bracing for volatility, understanding the nuances of these data points is essential for traders and analysts alike. Below, we dissect the key releases: the JOLT survey, Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), DOE Natural Gas Storage Report, and the FOMC interest rate decision.

1. US BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLT)

Release Date: December 3, 2024
Historical Impact: ~18 pips on forex markets

The JOLT survey is a cornerstone in gauging labor market health. In December 2024, market participants will scrutinize job openings, hires, and quits rates. These metrics provide insights into labor demand and employee confidence. High job openings suggest robust demand, whereas elevated quits typically indicate worker confidence in securing alternative employment.

Research Highlights:

  • Comparative Trends: With the Fed closely monitoring labor tightness to combat inflation, the JOLT data could hint at wage pressures.

  • Sectoral Shifts: Watch for growth in tech, healthcare, and leisure industries, which historically exhibit sensitivity to broader economic conditions.

2. US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls / NFP)

Release Date: December 6, 2024
Historical Impact: ~37 pips on forex markets

The NFP report remains the month’s most anticipated release. Beyond the headline payroll number, traders should evaluate unemployment rates and average hourly earnings. These components often guide monetary policy expectations.

Key Considerations:

  • Wage Growth: Accelerating wages could validate concerns of sticky inflation, prompting hawkish Federal Reserve action.

  • Sectoral Employment: Look for potential divergences, such as strength in construction and logistics versus weaknesses in retail.

3. DOE Natural Gas Storage Report

Release Date: December 12, 2024
Historical Impact: ~35 ticks on natural gas futures

Seasonal patterns often amplify the significance of the DOE’s natural gas storage report in December. As winter demand peaks, inventory data offers critical supply-demand balance insights.

Market Dynamics:

  • Weather Correlations: Cold weather forecasts could exacerbate price volatility if storage draws exceed expectations.

  • Production Trends: Monitor domestic production levels and LNG exports, which have increasingly influenced global natural gas prices.

4. FOMC Interest Rate Decision and Projections

Release Date: December 18, 2024
Historical Impact: ~36 pips on forex markets

The Federal Reserve’s December meeting will be particularly consequential, as it includes updated economic projections. The interest rate decision and accompanying Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) will clarify the Fed’s policy direction.

Focus Areas:

  • Interest Rate Path: Markets will parse the dot plot to infer future rate trajectories.

  • Inflation and Growth Forecasts: Revisions to core PCE inflation and GDP growth forecasts will influence broader sentiment.

  • Press Conference Signals: Chair Powell’s commentary could provide vital clues on how the Fed views labor market resilience and inflation trends heading into 2025.

Strategies for Traders

  • Pre-Positioning: Historically, markets exhibit caution ahead of these releases. Consider reducing exposure to avoid whipsaws.

  • Event-Specific Plays:

    • JOLT and NFP: Focus on USD pairs and bond yields.

    • Natural Gas Storage Report: Trade volatility in natural gas futures and ETFs.

    • FOMC Decision: Watch for broad USD moves and sectoral impacts on equities.

  • Cross-Market Analysis: Evaluate correlations between equities, commodities, and forex to anticipate broader market reactions.

Conclusion

December 2024 offers a dense calendar of influential economic data. By closely monitoring these releases and contextualizing them within broader macroeconomic trends, traders and analysts can better navigate the complexities of the financial markets. Staying informed and agile will be key as the year concludes with these impactful events.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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85 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 2 events in November 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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85 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 2 events in November 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 85 pips / ticks profit out of the following 2 events in November 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

November 2024

  • US Macro: 100%
  • US Macro: 100%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance November 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 1 minute! (preparation time not included)

Understanding October 2024 Inflation Data: Insights from the PPI and CPI Reports

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) recently released its Producer Price Index (PPI) and Consumer Price Index (CPI) reports for October 2024. Together, these reports provide a comprehensive view of inflationary trends, capturing price changes from the perspectives of producers and consumers. Let’s break down the key findings from each report and explore their implications for businesses, policymakers, and consumers.

October 2024 Producer Price Index (PPI): Inflation from the Production Side

The PPI, which measures price changes at the wholesale level, showed a 0.2% rise in October, signaling steady but moderate inflation in production costs. Over the past 12 months, the final demand index increased by 2.4%, reflecting contained inflationary pressures.

Key Drivers of PPI Changes

  1. Final Demand Services:

    • Services prices rose 0.3%, marking a consistent upward trend.

    • Notable increases were seen in transportation and warehousing (+0.5%) and portfolio management services (+3.6%).

    • The rise in service costs highlights challenges for industries reliant on logistics and professional services.

  2. Final Demand Goods:

    • Goods prices rose by a modest 0.1%, reversing prior declines.

    • Excluding food and energy, goods prices climbed 0.3%, reflecting strong demand for manufactured products.

    • Noteworthy was an 8.4% jump in carbon steel scrap prices, affecting construction and manufacturing industries.

  3. Intermediate Demand:

    • Processed goods for intermediate demand rose 0.5%, while unprocessed goods surged 4.1%—the largest increase since August 2022.

    • A 9.9% spike in crude petroleum prices drove much of the intermediate goods inflation.

Implications of the PPI Trends

  • For Businesses: Rising costs in services and intermediate goods could lead to higher production expenses. Companies may need to manage costs or adjust pricing to maintain profitability.

  • For Policymakers: Persistent core PPI inflation may influence Federal Reserve decisions on interest rates.

  • For Consumers: Increased wholesale costs may translate into higher retail prices, particularly in services like travel, healthcare, and retail products.

October 2024 Consumer Price Index (CPI): Inflation from the Consumer Side

The CPI, which measures price changes experienced by consumers, increased by 0.2% in October, consistent with the prior three months. Over the past year, the CPI rose 2.6%, slightly accelerating from September’s 2.4%.

Key Drivers of CPI Changes

  1. Shelter Costs:

    • Shelter costs rose 0.4% and have increased 4.9% year-over-year.

    • Rent and owners’ equivalent rent were major contributors, reflecting continued pressure in the housing market.

  2. Food Prices:

    • The food index edged up 0.2%, a slower pace than September’s 0.4% rise.

    • Prices for cereals, bakery products, and dairy surged by 1.0%, while meat and egg prices declined significantly (-1.2% and -6.4%, respectively).

  3. Energy:

    • The energy index remained flat, providing stability after recent declines. Gasoline prices fell 0.9%, but electricity costs rose 1.2%.

  4. Core CPI:

    • Excluding food and energy, core CPI rose 0.3%.

    • Used cars and trucks (+2.7%), airline fares (+3.2%), and medical care services (+0.4%) were significant contributors.

  5. Declines in Other Categories:

    • Apparel prices dropped 1.5%, and communication and household furnishings saw declines, partially offsetting broader price increases.

Implications of the CPI Trends

  • For Consumers: Shelter costs remain the primary inflationary burden, while declines in energy prices provide some relief. Food price increases are more modest but uneven across categories.

  • For Policymakers: The steady rise in core CPI highlights persistent inflation in non-volatile sectors, which may shape future monetary policy decisions.

What Do These Reports Mean for the Economy?

Both the PPI and CPI reports indicate that inflation is present but manageable, with specific areas driving price increases:

  • Businesses: Rising costs in services and core goods could pressure margins, particularly for industries reliant on logistics, professional services, or raw materials like steel.

  • Policymakers: While inflation remains above the Federal Reserve’s target, its contained nature might support a cautious approach to rate hikes.

  • Consumers: Retail prices are likely to rise in areas linked to higher production costs, such as travel, healthcare, and housing, but energy price stability offers some respite.

Looking Ahead: Key Trends to Monitor

As we move into the final months of 2024, the November inflation reports (due in December) will shed more light on these trends. Key areas to watch include:

  1. Service Sector Inflation: Any acceleration here could signal broader price pressures.

  2. Intermediate Demand: Rising production costs may translate into retail inflation if trends persist.

  3. Energy Prices: Seasonal fluctuations in heating costs and crude oil prices could impact both wholesale and retail inflation.

Final Thoughts

October 2024’s PPI and CPI reports offer a snapshot of an economy navigating steady inflation, with sector-specific pressures shaping the broader picture. By understanding these trends, businesses and consumers can better prepare for potential price changes, while policymakers can fine-tune strategies to maintain economic stability.

Stay tuned for our next update in December, as we continue to track the evolving inflation landscape and its implications for everyday life and economic policy.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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262 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in October 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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262 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in October 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 262 pips / ticks profit out of the following 6 events in October 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

October 2024

  • US Macro: 87%
  • US DOE: 13%
  • US Macro: 87%
  • US DOE: 13%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance October 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 4 minutes! (preparation time not included)

U.S. Economic Updates: September and October 2024 Key Data Highlights

The U.S. economy has recently seen several critical reports that provide insights into its current state and potential future trajectory. From employment figures to consumer spending and industrial activity, here’s a summary of the major economic releases for September and October 2024.

1. September 2024 Employment Report

The U.S. labor market demonstrated resilience in September 2024, as total nonfarm payroll employment rose by 254,000 jobs. This increase surpassed the average monthly gain of 203,000 observed over the previous 12 months. Despite this, the unemployment rate remained unchanged at 4.1%, maintaining stability amid ongoing economic uncertainties and the impact of Hurricane Francine, which fortunately did not significantly disrupt national employment figures.

Key Industry Highlights:

  • Food Services and Drinking Places: Added 69,000 jobs, showcasing a strong rebound compared to its average growth of 14,000 jobs per month over the prior year.

  • Health Care: Grew by 45,000 jobs, with notable increases in home health care services (+13,000) and hospitals (+12,000).

  • Government: Added 31,000 positions, though this was below its 12-month average of 45,000.

  • Social Assistance: Grew by 27,000 jobs, predominantly driven by individual and family services.

  • Construction: Increased by 25,000 jobs, supported by nonresidential specialty trade contractors.

Despite these gains, the number of unemployed individuals remained at 6.8 million, slightly higher than the previous year’s 6.3 million. The labor force participation rate was steady at 62.7%, still below pre-pandemic levels.

Wages and Workweek: Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% to $35.36, marking a year-over-year increase of 4.0%. The average workweek edged down slightly to 34.2 hours.

2. Retail Sales Report - September 2024

Retail and food services sales reached $714.4 billion in September 2024, reflecting a 0.4% month-over-month increase and a 1.7% rise compared to September 2023. This period saw a 2.3% year-over-year increase over the July-September quarter, pointing to steady consumer demand.

Highlights:

  • Nonstore Retailers: Experienced a robust 7.1% year-over-year growth.

  • Food Services and Drinking Places: Increased by 3.7% from September 2023.

  • Traditional Retail: Showed a moderate 0.3% month-over-month and 1.4% year-over-year increase.

3. Unemployment Insurance Claims

The labor market showed mixed trends in unemployment insurance claims:

  • October 12 Report: Initial jobless claims dropped by 19,000 to 241,000, but the four-week moving average rose slightly to 236,250, indicating lingering fluctuations.

  • October 19 Report: Initial claims fell further by 15,000 to 227,000. However, the four-week average increased to 238,500, suggesting that while new claims were declining, ongoing volatility persisted.

The insured unemployment rate for the week ending October 12 rose to 1.3%, and continuing claims grew by 28,000 to 1.897 million, marking the highest level since November 2021. This uptick suggests that while fewer people are filing new claims, more individuals are remaining on unemployment rolls.

4. Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey - October 2024

The October survey indicated renewed strength in the manufacturing sector:

  • General Activity Index: Rose to 10.3 from 1.7 in September, marking the second consecutive month of growth.

  • New Orders and Shipments: Moved into positive territory with indices of 14.2 and 7.4, respectively.

  • Employment Index: Declined to -2.2, suggesting a small portion of firms were reducing staff.

Manufacturers remained optimistic, with 47% expecting increased activity over the next six months. Capital expenditure plans for 2025 were robust, with investments anticipated in software and equipment.

5. Natural Gas Storage Report - October 18, 2024

Heading into the colder months, natural gas storage levels were strong:

  • Total Working Gas: Reached 3,785 billion cubic feet (Bcf), an increase of 80 Bcf from the prior week.

  • Year-Over-Year and Five-Year Averages: Storage was 106 Bcf above last year and 167 Bcf over the five-year average.

  • Regional Insights:

    • Midwest Region: Saw a 21 Bcf increase, up 1.9% from last year.

    • Mountain Region: Grew by 4 Bcf, marking a significant 15.9% year-over-year increase.

The overall healthy storage levels indicate that the market is well-prepared for potential demand spikes during the winter.

6. September 2024 JOLTS Report

Job openings remained steady at 7.4 million, slightly below August’s revised figure of 7.9 million, indicating a cooling trend compared to the previous year. Hiring rates stayed at 5.6 million, and the quit rate, a measure of worker confidence, was unchanged at 1.9%.

Notable Trends:

  • Quits in professional and business services fell, while layoffs in durable goods manufacturing rose.

  • The layoffs and discharges rate was 1.2%, signaling some workforce reassessment.

7. Q3 2024 GDP Report

The economy grew at an annualized rate of 2.8%, down slightly from Q2’s 3.0%. Consumer spending, federal government spending, and exports drove growth, while private inventory investment and residential fixed investment declined.

Inflation and Income:

  • The price index for gross domestic purchases rose by 1.8%, indicating easing inflation.

  • Personal income increased by $221.3 billion, with a decrease in the savings rate to 4.8%.

Final Thoughts

These economic releases paint a nuanced picture of the U.S. economy as it navigates the latter part of 2024. While job growth, consumer spending, and manufacturing activity show resilience, indicators like unemployment claims and GDP deceleration suggest caution. As we approach the end of 2024, monitoring these trends will be crucial for understanding how the U.S. economy may evolve into 2025.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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161 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 3 events in September 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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161 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 3 events in September 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 161 pips / ticks profit out of the following 3 events in September 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

September 2024

  • US Macro: 100%
  • US Macro: 100%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance September 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 3 minutes! (preparation time not included)

September 2024 Economic Recap: Labor, Inflation, and the Fed's First Rate Cut

September 2024 saw a series of pivotal economic data releases and a significant policy shift from the Federal Reserve that sent ripples through markets. Three key events—Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS), the Consumer Price Index (CPI), and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Interest Rate Decision—shed light on the current state of the U.S. economy, labor market, inflation, and monetary policy.

1. JOLTS Report – 4 September 2024

The JOLTS report for August revealed that job openings climbed to 8.04 million, reflecting a still-tight labor market. Despite economic uncertainties and ongoing monetary tightening, labor demand remains robust. This rise in job openings, from 7.7 million in July, suggests employers are continuing to hire, although higher wages might be contributing to persistent inflationary pressures. The tight labor market complicates the Federal Reserve's task of reducing inflation, as wage growth can fuel further price increases. The report's strong labor demand triggered a notable 72-pip movement in the market, signaling investor concerns about prolonged inflation and the Fed's response.

2. CPI Report – 11 September 2024

Inflation remained a focal point in September. The CPI data for August showed that inflation ticked up to 3.7% year-over-year, with core inflation (excluding food and energy) coming in at 4.2%. Energy prices, particularly gasoline, played a significant role in driving the overall increase, but inflation in housing and services continued to persist. This month-over-month rise of 0.2% matched July's figure and reinforced the idea that inflation remains sticky. Although the CPI report didn’t cause significant market turmoil (just a 27-pip reaction), it confirmed that the inflationary landscape still warrants the Federal Reserve’s attention.

3. FOMC Interest Rate Decision – 18 September 2024

In the most significant economic move of the month, the FOMC announced a 50 basis point rate cut, lowering the federal funds rate to a range of 4.75% - 5.00%. This marked the first rate cut since the Federal Reserve's aggressive tightening campaign began in 2022 to combat high inflation. Despite the cut, the central bank signaled a cautious stance, indicating that it would not rush into further cuts unless inflation showed clearer signs of easing toward the Fed’s 2% target. This decision was a response to slower economic growth and modest improvements in inflation but also acknowledged the risks of premature policy easing. The cut triggered a 62-pip reaction, as investors recalibrated their expectations for future rate cuts, with some projecting more reductions in the coming months.

What’s Next?

The combination of a resilient labor market, persistent inflation, and the Federal Reserve’s cautious but responsive policy shift signals a period of continued uncertainty. The Fed’s next steps will heavily depend on how inflation evolves in the coming months. The JOLTS data suggests that labor market tightness will continue to drive wage growth, potentially making it harder to rein in inflation. The CPI report shows that while inflation is slowing, it’s still not at the level the Fed desires. The rate cut may provide some relief to borrowers, but the Fed remains committed to its dual mandate of full employment and price stability.

Investors and market participants will closely watch upcoming data, particularly for signs of labor market softening and further inflation moderation, which will influence the Fed’s monetary policy trajectory into 2025.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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259 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 4 events in August 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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259 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 4 events in August 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 259 pips / ticks profit out of the following 4 events in August 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

August 2024

  • US Macro: 85%
  • DOE: 15%
  • US Macro: 85%
  • DOE: 15%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance August 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 4 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Title: Key Economic Indicators and Market Movements in August 2024

As we move through the second half of 2024, several critical economic reports have significantly impacted the financial markets. In this blog post, we'll break down the market reactions to some of the most influential U.S. economic indicators released in August 2024: Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP), Retail Sales, the Department of Energy (DOE) Natural Gas Storage Report, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Understanding these reports and their impact on the markets can provide valuable insights for traders, investors, and anyone interested in the economic landscape.

1. US Employment Situation (Non-Farm Payrolls - NFP)

Release Date: August 2, 2024
Market Movement: 90 pips

The U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for August 2024 showed weaker-than-expected job growth, causing a significant market reaction with a movement of 90 pips. The NFP is a crucial indicator of economic health, as it measures the number of jobs added or lost in the economy, excluding farm workers.

The weaker NFP numbers indicated that the U.S. labor market might be losing momentum, which raised concerns about a potential slowdown in economic growth. In response to the disappointing employment data, the U.S. dollar weakened as traders and investors speculated that the Federal Reserve might adopt a more dovish stance in its monetary policy to support the economy. A weaker dollar often results from expectations of lower interest rates or increased economic stimulus, as these measures can reduce the currency's appeal to investors.

This market reaction underscores the sensitivity of the financial markets to employment data, as it directly impacts expectations for future economic performance and monetary policy.

2. US Retail Sales

Release Date: August 15, 2024
Market Movement: 84 pips

Retail sales figures for August 2024 also exceeded market expectations, triggering an 84-pip move in the currency markets. Retail sales are a direct reflection of consumer spending, which is a significant component of the U.S. economy.

The strong retail sales data indicated that consumers remained confident and willing to spend despite rising interest rates and inflationary pressures. This boosted market sentiment, further supporting the dollar and increasing speculation around continued economic resilience. For investors, these figures suggest a thriving consumer sector, which is vital for economic expansion.

3. DOE Natural Gas Storage Report

Release Date: August 15, 2024
Market Movement: 38 ticks

On the same day as the retail sales report, the Department of Energy released its Natural Gas Storage Report, which saw a movement of 38 ticks. This report provides insight into the supply and demand dynamics of natural gas, a critical energy commodity.

The report showed a smaller-than-expected build in natural gas inventories, which suggested higher-than-anticipated demand or lower production levels. This tighter supply outlook caused natural gas prices to rise, with immediate effects seen in the commodity markets. Traders who monitor energy commodities closely often react quickly to these storage reports, adjusting their positions based on the perceived supply-demand balance.

4. US Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Release Date: August 29, 2024
Market Movement: 47 pips

The GDP report released at the end of August showed moderate economic growth, with the market moving 47 pips following the announcement. GDP is the broadest measure of economic activity and provides a comprehensive overview of the health of the economy.

The data released indicated a steady but not overly exuberant economic expansion, aligning with the Federal Reserve's expectations and the broader market sentiment. A balanced GDP figure often suggests that while the economy is growing, it is not doing so at an unsustainable pace. This can reassure investors and traders that the economic environment is stable, reducing the likelihood of sharp policy changes by the Fed.

Conclusion

August 2024 was a month of significant economic data releases, each shaping market sentiment and trading activity. The weaker-than-expected employment figures and stronger-than-expected retail sales figures indicated a mixed economy, while the DOE Natural Gas Storage Report highlighted tight conditions in the energy market. Meanwhile, the GDP report painted a picture of steady growth, reassuring markets of the economy's resilience.

For traders and investors, these reports serve as crucial indicators of market trends and potential shifts in economic policy. Staying informed and understanding the implications of these data releases is essential for making well-informed decisions in the financial markets.

As we look ahead, it will be important to monitor how these indicators evolve and what they suggest about the future direction of the U.S. economy and global financial markets.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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456 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in July 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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456 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 6 events in July 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 456 pips / ticks profit out of the following 6 events in July 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

July 2024

  • EU Macro: 60%
  • US Macro: 16%
  • DOE: 16%
  • USDA: 8%
  • EU Macro: 60%
  • US Macro: 16%
  • DOE: 16%
  • USDA: 8%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance July 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 5 minutes! (preparation time not included)

July 2024: A Month of Significant Economic Indicators and Reports

July 2024 has been a bustling month for economic observers, packed with key reports and indicators that have provided insights into the global economy's health and direction. Let’s take a closer look at some of the major economic data released this month, ranging from consumer price indices to agricultural and energy reports.

U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) – 11 July 2024

The month kicked off with the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics releasing the Consumer Price Index (CPI), which showed an increase of 32 basis points. This movement in CPI is critical as it indicates the inflation rate, influencing Federal Reserve policies and impacting consumer purchasing power. A rise of 32 pips suggests a modest uptick in inflation, possibly reflecting increased consumer spending as the economy continues to recover.

Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) – 12 July 2024

Following the U.S. data, Sweden reported its CPI with a significant rise of 272 pips. This considerable jump is an indicator of potentially higher inflationary pressures within the Swedish economy. Such a sharp increase could prompt Riksbank, Sweden's central bank, to consider tightening monetary policy to curb inflation.

USDA WASDE Report – 12 July 2024

On the same day, the U.S. Department of Agriculture released the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report, which saw a movement of 40 ticks. This report is pivotal for understanding global agricultural markets, affecting everything from commodity prices to stock levels. The data provided can influence global food prices and have a significant impact on economies heavily reliant on agriculture.

U.S. Retail Sales – 16 July 2024

Mid-month, the focus shifted to consumer behavior with the release of U.S. Retail Sales data, showing a movement of 40 pips. This report is a key barometer of consumer spending and can be a leading indicator of the overall economic performance. An increase of 40 pips suggests that consumer confidence remains strong, which is vital for sustaining economic growth.

DOE Natural Gas Storage Reports – 18 and 25 July 2024

The energy sector also had its share of the spotlight with the Department of Energy’s Natural Gas Storage Reports released on the 18th and 25th of July, showing movements of 32 and 40 ticks, respectively. These reports are crucial for understanding natural gas supply levels which directly impact natural gas prices and subsequently, energy costs for consumers and businesses.

Implications and Outlook

The data released in July 2024 paints a diverse picture of the global economic landscape. From inflationary trends in the U.S. and Sweden to consumer behavior and energy supply, these reports provide valuable insights that can help policymakers, investors, and businesses make informed decisions.

As we move forward, it will be important to monitor how these trends develop, especially in light of ongoing global economic challenges and opportunities. Keeping an eye on these indicators will help anticipate potential economic shifts and prepare for future impacts.

Stay tuned for more updates and analyses as we continue to navigate through the complexities of the global economy.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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285 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in June 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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285 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 5 events in June 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 285 pips / ticks profit out of the following 5 events in June 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

June 2024

  • US Eco: 58%
  • EU Eco: 28%
  • DOE: 14%
  • US Eco: 58%
  • EU Eco: 28%
  • DOE: 14%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance June 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 4 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Unpacking the Recent Economic Data: A Glimpse into June 2024's Key Economic Indicators

June 2024 has been a bustling month for economic data, with significant releases affecting market movements and investor sentiments across the globe. From the U.S. job market's vitality to inflation rates both domestically and in Sweden, the figures provide crucial insights. Let's delve into these economic indicators and their implications.

1. DOE Natural Gas Storage Report - 40 ticks (6 June 2024)

The Department of Energy's latest Natural Gas Storage Report revealed a 40-tick movement, indicating changes in natural gas inventory levels. Such fluctuations can significantly influence energy prices and hint at broader economic activity levels, especially in industries reliant on energy consumption. This movement suggests variations in supply and demand dynamics, possibly influenced by seasonal changes or shifts in industrial production.

2. U.S. Employment Situation - 58 pips (7 June 2024)

The Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) showed a movement of 58 pips, which is a critical indicator of economic health. The employment data suggests robust job growth or contraction, which can influence consumer spending and overall economic momentum. A positive report typically strengthens the USD, as it points to a bustling economy, possibly guiding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions regarding interest rates.

3. U.S. BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) - 62 pips (12 June 2024)

June's CPI movement of 62 pips underscores ongoing concerns or relief regarding inflation. As the primary gauge of inflation, CPI data impacts everything from monetary policy to individual purchasing power. This movement indicates that consumer prices are on the move, which could either signal strengthening economic activity or rising inflation concerns, influencing the Fed's outlook on the economy.

4. U.S. Jobless Claims and Producer Price Index (PPI) - 44 pips (13 June 2024)

The simultaneous release of jobless claims and the Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a collective pip movement of 44. These metrics offer a dual view: jobless claims point to the number of individuals filing for unemployment benefits, a direct measure of job market health, while PPI provides insight into the cost pressures faced by producers which can feed into consumer prices. Together, they provide a nuanced view of economic resilience or vulnerability.

5. Sweden Consumer Price Index (CPI) - 81 pips (14 June 2024)

Sweden's CPI moving by 81 pips is particularly noteworthy, as it suggests significant inflationary pressures or deflationary trends in the Swedish economy. Given Sweden's role in the European economic landscape, these figures can have broader implications for the European Central Bank's policy decisions and the overall economic climate in the region.

Conclusion

June 2024's economic data presents a mixed bag of insights, reflecting the complexities of the current global economic environment. Each data release not only affects domestic markets but also has broader implications for global trade, monetary policy, and investment decisions. As we move forward, it will be crucial for investors, policymakers, and the public to keep a close eye on these indicators to gauge the trajectory of economic recovery or downturn. Stay tuned for further analysis as more data becomes available and continue to navigate these challenging yet interesting times with informed perspectives.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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355 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 9 events in May 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

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355 pips potential forex fx futures news trading profit from 9 events in May 2024 with Haawks G4A machine-readable data feed

According to our analysis there was a potential of 355 pips / ticks profit out of the following 9 events in May 2024. The potential performance in 2023 was 13,607 pips / ticks.

May 2024

  • US Eco: 65%
  • DOE: 35%
  • US Eco: 65%
  • DOE: 35%
Cumulative potential, indicative performance May 2024, please see all releases below.

Total trading time would have been around 5 minutes! (preparation time not included)

Analyzing May 2024's Economic Reports: Impacts and Insights

In May 2024, several significant economic reports released by U.S. agencies and other entities have made waves across the financial markets, reflecting the ongoing fluctuations and trends in the economy. Here’s a detailed look at some of the key reports and their impacts on trading activities:

1. US BLS Employment Situation (Non-farm payrolls/NFP) - May 3, 2024

The Non-farm Payrolls (NFP) reported a movement of 77 pips, indicating a volatile reaction from the markets. This data, crucial for understanding employment trends excluding farm workers and a few other job categories, often serves as a barometer for overall economic health. A higher or lower than expected number can indicate the pace at which the economy is either adding or losing jobs, influencing Federal Reserve policy decisions.

2. DOE Natural Gas Storage Report - May 9, 2024

This weekly report showed a movement of 23 ticks. Natural gas storage levels can significantly affect natural gas prices, influencing energy stocks and sectors related to utilities and manufacturing that are heavy energy consumers.

3. US BLS Producer Price Index (PPI) - May 14, 2024

The Producer Price Index, which measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers for their output, moved by 12 pips. This lesser movement suggests a relatively stable perception of producer inflation, which can preempt consumer inflation trends.

4. US Retail Sales and US BLS Consumer Price Index (CPI) - May 15, 2024

A significant movement of 104 pips was observed, underscoring the importance of these metrics. Retail sales directly reflect consumer spending health, while CPI is a direct measure of consumer inflation. Together, they provide a comprehensive picture of the economic backdrop, influencing monetary policy and investor sentiment.

5. DOE Petroleum Status Report - May 15, 2024

Recording a movement of 33 ticks, this report provides insights into the supply-and-demand dynamics of the petroleum market, influencing not only energy prices but also economic expectations globally, given the pivotal role of oil in the world economy.

6. US Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank Manufacturing Business Outlook Survey - May 16, 2024

The Philly Fed index, moving 17 pips, reflects the health of the manufacturing sector in the Philadelphia Fed's region. It’s a leading indicator of economic health—manufacturers being more responsive to changes in the business cycle.

7. DOE Natural Gas Storage Reports - May 16 & 23, 2024

Further reports on natural gas storage recorded movements of 24 and 45 ticks respectively. These reports reflect adjustments in market strategies and expectations concerning energy consumption and pricing.

8. US BEA Personal Income and Outlays - May 31, 2024

Finally, a 20 pip movement was seen in this report, which details personal income and consumer spending. This data is critical for gauging consumer capability and willingness to spend, directly feeding into expectations on economic growth trajectories.

Conclusion

Each report in May 2024 painted part of a broader economic picture, helping market participants gauge the tempo of economic activity and inflationary pressures. The movements in pips and ticks post-report release indicate the market's sensitivity to economic signals and can guide investors, policymakers, and analysts in making informed decisions. As we move forward, keeping an eye on these indicators will remain crucial in understanding the evolving economic landscape.

Disclaimer: This blog post is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Always conduct thorough research and consider seeking advice from a financial professional before making any investment decisions.

Start futures/forex/oil/grains news trading with Haawks G4A low latency machine-readable data today, we offer one of the fastest machine-readable data feeds for US macro-economic and commodity data and macro-economic data from Norway, Sweden, Turkey, Switzerland and ECB interest rates and statement.

Please let us know your feedback and check out our G4A low latency data feed.

All data is machine readable and available via API access in Aurora, CH1, NY4 and LD4. Free trials.

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